Match Info

PORTUGAL: LIGA PORTUGAL 2 - ROUND 17

Date: 14 January 2024, Sunday

Location: Estádio Dr. Magalhães Pessoa (Leiria)

Referee: Vieira B. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Sport TV4


	Leiria		Santa Clara

	1	X	2
	2.88	3	2.6
	2.75	2.87	2.5	Watch
	2.85	3	2.6	Watch
	3.08	3	2.77
	3.08	2.88	2.77
	2.75	2.9	2.38
	2.84	2.98	2.55	Watch
	2.8	2.9	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.88 ↓ (2.94)	2.94 ↓ (3.03)	2.58 ↑ (2.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 1.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leiria
32.3%

Draw
31.6%

Santa Clara
36%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.6%

30.7%

37.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.4%

30.5%

37.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leiria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Santa Clara has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leiria than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santa Clara than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
41.7%	41.7%	16.7%

Leiria - Santa Clara Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Leiria will win (votes: 5 - 41.7%). Santa Clara will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 41.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Leiria: 13.8% – 69.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kieszek P. (G) 6. Baixinho M. 4. Bura 72. Oliveira V. 22. Valdir 21. Silva L. 25. Amado D. (C) 14. Empis P. 11. Silva J. 7. Antunes L. 17. Lucho Vega	1. Gabriel Batista (G) 4. Pacheco P. 13. Rocha L. 16. Henrique P. (C) 42. Lucas Soares 35. Serginho 21. Semedo Y. 2. Diogo Calila 10. Ricardinho 30. Safira 70. Vinicius Lopes
Substitutes
8. Arsenio 90. Ayongo P. 29. Ferreira F. (G) 2. Ferreira T. 30. Ribeiro S. 35. Rochez B. 19. Valente A. 10. van der Gaag J. 24. Zie Ouattara	19. Almeida B. 11. Andrezinho 74. Diaz M. (G) 8. Ferreira P. 49. Gabriel Silva 77. Klismahn G. 32. MT 99. Rafael Martins 6. Velazquez S.
Coaches
Costa V.	Pires L.

Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 11 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Portugal (Promotion: )).

Recent matches Leiria is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Santa Clara is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Santa Clara could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Leiria won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Leiria won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Leiria
Taça de Portugal
10.01.24	Marítimo - Leiria	0:3 ✺
Portuguese Liga 2
06.01.24	Académico de Viseu - Leiria	1:0 ✺
30.12.23	Leiria - Feirense	1:1 ✺
22.12.23	Leiria - Paços de Ferreira	1:1 ✺
16.12.23	Penafiel - Leiria	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WLTTL
- CD Santa Clara
Taça de Portugal
11.01.24	Santa Clara - Nacional	2:1 penalties ✺
Portuguese Liga 2
06.01.24	Santa Clara - Mafra	0:1 ✺
22.12.23	Belenenses - Santa Clara	0:0 ✺
17.12.23	Santa Clara - Porto B	2:1 ✺
09.12.23	Tondela - Santa Clara	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Taça de Portugal
16.10.21	Leiria - Santa Clara	0:2

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