Match Info

Date: 23 October 2022, Sunday

Location: Estádio do Vizela (Caldas de Vizela)

Referee: Correia G. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Sport TV


	Vizela		Santa Clara

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.3	3.8	Watch
	1.98	3.25	3.8
	1.96	3.3	3.9
	2.01	3.25	3.75
	2.04	3.37	4.13
	2	3.2	3.9	Watch
	1.97	3.36	3.92	Watch
	2.02	3.3	3.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.99 ↓ (2.05)	3.29 ↑ (3.27)	3.88 ↑ (3.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vizela
47.3%

Draw
28.5%

Santa Clara
24.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.3%

28.3%

26.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42%

26.2%

28.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vizela has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Santa Clara has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vizela than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Vizela that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santa Clara than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	25%	0%

Vizela - Santa Clara Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Vizela will win (votes: 9 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Vizela: 50.5% – 99.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 12 and 16 in the zone Liga Portugal (Relegation)).

Vizela has the most likely position - 10 (8.74%), has project points - 43, has currently - 11, has a small chance of relegated (8%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has quality 47, small importance 29, match rating 38. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Recent matches Vizela is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Santa Clara has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Santa Clara could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Vizela will have a small advantage in this match.

There will not play in Santa Clara: Costinha (Achilles Tendon Injury)

There are questionable in Vizela: Claudemir (Injury)

There are questionable in Santa Clara: Diogo Calila (Injury) Henrique P. (Injury) Quintilla X. (Injury)

Last 4 head-to-head matches Vizela won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Vizela won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Vizela
Taça de Portugal
15.10.22	Penafiel - Vizela	3:4 penalties ✺
Liga Portugal
09.10.22	Casa Pia - Vizela	0:1 ✺
01.10.22	Vizela - Portimonense	1:0 ✺
18.09.22	Braga - Vizela	2:0 ✺
12.09.22	Vizela - Estoril Praia	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 WWWLL
- CD Santa Clara
Taça de Portugal
15.10.22	Tondela - Santa Clara	2:0 ✺
Liga Portugal
08.10.22	Santa Clara - Sporting Lisbon	1:2 ✺
02.10.22	Rio Ave - Santa Clara	1:0 ✺
17.09.22	Santa Clara - Paços de Ferreira	1:1 ✺
09.09.22	Vitoria Guimarães - Santa Clara	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Liga Portugal
06.03.22	Santa Clara - Vizela	3:1
02.10.21	Vizela - Santa Clara	1:1
Portuguese Liga 2
26.02.17	Santa Clara - Vizela	0:0
09.10.16	Vizela - Santa Clara	0:0

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