Match Info

PORTUGAL: LIGA PORTUGAL 2 - RELEGATION - FINAL

Date: 11 June 2023, Sunday

Location: Estádio Nacional do Jamor (Lisbon - Oeiras)

Referee: Soares Dias A. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Sport TV, Sport TV+


	BSAD		Vilaverdense

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.1	3.2
	2.1	3.2	3
	2.15	3.1	3.1
	2.35	3.34	3.24
	2.2	3	3.1
	2.22	3.32	3.1	Watch
	2.17	3.15	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.19 ↑ (1.85)	3.17 ↑ (3.1)	3.12 ↓ (4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

BSAD
41.8%

Draw
28.9%

Vilaverdense
29.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.6%

29%

22.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.9%

30.3%

21.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

BSAD has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that BSAD's form might have worsened.

Vilaverdense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Vilaverdense's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for BSAD than the current prediction. (+9.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for BSAD, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vilaverdense than the current prediction. (-7.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Vilaverdense, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
62.5%	25%	12.5%

BSAD - Vilaverdense Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. BSAD will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Vilaverdense will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for BSAD: 29% – 96%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Tabuaco G. (G) 40. Ageu E. 6. Braima 5. Henrique Gelain 11. Jefferson Souza 89. Joao Marcos 12. John K. 77. Jojo 28. Lobato S. 42. Montez A. 4. Tomas N.	1. Ivo (G) 77. Cipenga B. 9. Edmilson 23. Ericson 27. Freitas C. 7. Goncalo Teixeira 70. Helder Pedro 26. Pereira Batista J. C. 2. Rios J. 10. Soares A. 19. Torres Lopes A. R.
Substitutes
44. Boni T. 7. Chico Teixeira 22. Coxixo M. 21. Fofana B. 16. Oliveira R. 10. Saramago B. 90. Silva D. (G) 84. Simoes F. 17. Tavares D.	6. Azougha T. 82. Cajo Azevedo (G) 3. Cordeiro L. 47. Fati A. 60. Marques R. 20. Pereira M. 11. Silva B. 30. Willian 89. Ze Pedro
Coaches
Alves Salazar J. P.	Silva R.

Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 1-1.

Now both teams are in good shape.

BSAD could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

BSAD will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches BSAD won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- BSAD
Portuguese Liga 2
03.06.23	Vilaverdense - BSAD	1:1 ✺
28.05.23	Vilafranquense - BSAD	1:1 ✺
20.05.23	BSAD - Oliveirense	2:1 ✺
13.05.23	BSAD - Mafra	2:2 ✺
05.05.23	Leixões - BSAD	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.8 TTWTW
- Vilaverdense FC
Portuguese Liga 2
03.06.23	Vilaverdense - BSAD	1:1 ✺
21.05.23	Vilaverdense - Braga B	2:1 ✺
14.05.23	Braga B - Vilaverdense	0:2 ✺
Portuguese Liga 3
06.05.23	Vilaverdense - Amora	5:0 ✺
30.04.23	Sanjoanense - Vilaverdense	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 TWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 2
03.06.23	Vilaverdense - BSAD	1:1
Taça de Portugal
11.01.23	Vilaverdense - BSAD	1:4

BSAD - Vilaverdense: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide