Match Info

I Lyga - Round 28

Date: 25 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Plungės dirbtinės dangos stadionas - Artificial grass (Plunge)

Where to Watch on TV:


Latvia	Futbols TV


	Babrungas Plungė		Hegelmann Litauen 2

	1	X	2
	1.25	5.35	8.1
	1.41	4.84	5.71	Watch
	1.29	5.1	7.85
	1.3	4.75	6.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.31 ↓ (1.41)	5.01 ↑ (4.84)	7.08 ↑ (5.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 9.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Babrungas Plungė
69.1%

Draw
18.1%

Hegelmann Litauen 2
12.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65%

18.9%

16.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.4%

17.7%

15.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Babrungas Plungė has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

Hegelmann Litauen 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Babrungas Plungė than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hegelmann Litauen 2 than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

Babrungas Plungė - Hegelmann Litauen 2 Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Babrungas (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +2 - Hegelmann 2 (2.19) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Babrungas (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Hegelmann 2 (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
99. Kublickas D. (G) 6. Ajayi S. B. 7. Borja P. 22. Cepkauskas L. 5. Latakas A. 8. Mantinis K. 9. Pedro Bahia 10. Robinho 11. Skirmantas M. (C) 18. Tabata S. 77. Ukrinas T.	31. Bagdonavicius R. (G) 13. Bouteba M. R. 80. Gedziunas S. 88. Janusa K. 25. Keliauskas K. 66. Kukta P. (C) 19. Pasilys D. 98. Pastukas J. 59. Polujanski A. 42. Sinkevicius R. 55. Stelmokas N.
Substitutes
55. Agyemang E. 33. Baguzas E. 13. Carlos Henrique 1. Maltos (G) 35. Norvaisas M. 20. Paulauskas G.	8. Armalas A. 71. Jonavicius E. 37. Morkunas R. (G) 96. Padegimas K. 87. Popiera T. 24. Sinkevicius D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 1)
4', 1 - 0, Robinho ⚽,
10', Sinkevicius R. 🟨,
17', Cepkauskas L. 🟨,
25', 2 - 0, Borja P. ⚽,
36', 3 - 0, Borja P. ⚽,
37', 3 - 1, Bouteba M. R. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
85', 4 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 4 and 10).

Babrungas has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Hegelmann 2 has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Hegelmann 2 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Babrungas is the undeniable favorite.

We predict that Babrungas will win today's game, with odds of 1.4.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Babrungas won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:5. (average 2.7:1.7).

Including home match between the teams, Babrungas won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Babrungas Plungė
Lithuanian Division 2
18.10.25	Kauno Žalgiris 2 - Babrungas Plungė	1:2 ✺
04.10.25	Babrungas Plungė - BFA Vilnius	3:1 ✺
26.09.25	Ekranas - Babrungas Plungė	0:2 ✺
19.09.25	Babrungas Plungė - Atmosfera Mažeikiai	3:0 ✺
12.09.25	Nevėžis - Babrungas Plungė	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WWWWT
- Hegelmann Litauen 2
Lithuanian Division 2
17.10.25	BE1 NFA Kaunas - Hegelmann Litauen 2	1:3 ✺
04.10.25	Transinvest - Hegelmann Litauen 2	3:0 ✺
26.09.25	Hegelmann Litauen 2 - Žalgiris Vilnius 2	1:1 ✺
19.09.25	Minija Kretinga - Hegelmann Litauen 2	2:0 ✺
12.09.25	Hegelmann Litauen 2 - FA Šiauliai B	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Lithuanian Division 2
17.06.25	Hegelmann Litauen 2 - Babrungas Plungė	4:2
26.10.24	Babrungas Plungė - Hegelmann Litauen 2	2:1
08.06.24	Hegelmann Litauen 2 - Babrungas Plungė	0:4

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