Match Info

LITHUANIA: I Lyga - Round 12

Date: 31 May 2024, Friday


	Babrungas Plungė		Riteriai

	1	X	2
				Watch
	4.2	3.8	1.62
	4	3.75	1.7	Watch
	4.75	4.01	1.67
	4.75	4.01	1.55
	4	3.9	1.6
	4.5	3.96	1.61
	4.4	3.9	1.63
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.37 ↑ (4.06)	3.9 ↑ (3.5)	1.63 ↓ (1.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Babrungas Plungė
20.8%

Draw
23.3%

Riteriai
55.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.5%

26%

51.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.3%

25.8%

52%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Babrungas Plungė has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Riteriai has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Babrungas Plungė than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Riteriai than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

Babrungas Plungė - Riteriai Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Agalarov A. (G) 3. Barusas A. (C) 14. Budrys T. 17. Butkus V. 20. Hess V. 5. Latakas A. 8. Mantinis K. 11. Skirmantas M. 18. Sousa A. 9. Tomemori S. 10. Ze Flores	1. Vitkauskas A. (C) 10. Civilka S. 4. Gumbaravicius G. 11. Kaulinis A. 23. Kazakevicius A. 17. Rimpa D. 5. Rutkovskis M. 2. Stankevicius N. 8. Sveistrys A. 24. Usavicius J. 77. Zdanovic E. J.
Substitutes
4. Butkus D. 7. Jasmontas V. 15. Jaudzemas M. 32. Kazbaras M. 19. Mantinis K. 77. Ukrinas T. 13. Yakudi K.	79. Kozhevnikov O. 84. Lipinskas D. 99. Matuskevicius D. (G) 9. Onah E. 12. Petkus N. 47. Rosiveri A. 15. Stankevicius K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
5', 0 - 1, Kaulinis A. ⚽,
32', 1 - 1, Sousa A. ⚽,
36', Rimpa D. 🟨,
45', 1 - 2, Rutkovskis M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Skirmantas M. 🟨,
64', Hess V. ↓, Kazbaras M. ↑,
65', 1 - 3, Rutkovskis M. ⚽,
69', Ze Flores ↓, Yakudi K. ↑,
73', Mantinis K. ↓, Ukrinas T. ↑,
73', Skirmantas M. ↓, Mantinis K. ↑,
83', Rimpa D. ↓, Petkus N. ↑,
83', Usavicius J. ↓, Rosiveri A. ↑,
85', Zdanovic E. J. ↓, Onah E. ↑,
90+5', Sousa A. 🟨,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Babrungas Plungė
Lithuanian Cup
28.05.24	Babrungas Plungė - Hegelmann Litauen	2:3 ✺
Lithuanian Division 2
24.05.24	BE1 NFA Kaunas - Babrungas Plungė	2:0 ✺
17.05.24	Babrungas Plungė - Nevėžis	1:1 ✺
10.05.24	Neptūnas - Babrungas Plungė	0:1 ✺
02.05.24	Babrungas Plungė - Tauras Tauragė	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 LLTWT
- FK Riteriai
Lithuanian Division 2
25.05.24	Riteriai - Minija Kretinga	2:2 ✺
18.05.24	Garliava - Riteriai	0:1 ✺
11.05.24	Riteriai - Ekranas	3:0 ✺
Lithuanian Cup
07.05.24	Riteriai - Banga Gargždai	3:5 ET ✺
Lithuanian Division 2
04.05.24	BFA Vilnius - Riteriai	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 TWWLW

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