Match Info

SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - GROUP 5 - ROUND 23

Date: 18 February 2024, Sunday


	Badajoz		Numancia

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.1	3.1
	2.15	2.9	3.2
	2.1	3.1	3.5	Watch
	2.11	2.93	3.15
	2.35	2.91	3.16
	2.29	3.04	3.21
	2.16	3.05	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.19 ↓ (2.5)	3 (3)	3.22 ↑ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Badajoz
41.6%

Draw
30.3%

Numancia
28.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.8%

29.8%

34.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.1%

30.9%

33.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Badajoz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Badajoz's performance.

Numancia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Numancia might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Badajoz than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Numancia than the current prediction. (+5%)

Badajoz - Numancia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).

Badajoz is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Numancia is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Badajoz will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Badajoz won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Badajoz
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
11.02.24	UD San Fernando - Badajoz	2:1 ✺
04.02.24	Badajoz - Illescas	0:0 ✺
27.01.24	CD Guadalajara - Badajoz	1:1 ✺
21.01.24	Badajoz - Atlético Paso	0:1 ✺
14.01.24	Unión Adarve - Badajoz	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 LTTLL
- CD Numancia
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
11.02.24	Numancia - Illescas	2:3 ✺
04.02.24	Atlético Paso - Numancia	0:1 ✺
28.01.24	Numancia - Llerenense	2:0 ✺
21.01.24	Montijo - Numancia	1:0 ✺
14.01.24	Numancia - Gimnástica Segoviana	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
08.10.23	Numancia - Badajoz	2:2

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