Match Info

SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - GROUP 5 - ROUND 22

Date: 11 February 2024, Sunday


	Numancia		Illescas

	1	X	2
	1.62	3.3	5
	1.73	3.2	4.33
	1.72	3.3	5	Watch
	1.84	3.05	4
	1.75	3.25	5.05
	1.68	3.48	5.13
	1.71	3.3	4.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↑ (1.62)	3.27 ↓ (3.5)	4.74 ↓ (4.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Numancia
52.9%

Draw
27.9%

Illescas
19.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.8%

25.8%

18.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.4%

24.7%

17.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Numancia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Illescas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Numancia than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Numancia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Illescas than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

Numancia - Illescas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of the most exciting matches of the day will feature two top-of-the-table teams (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).

Numancia is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Illescas is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Numancia is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Numancia to win the game is with odds 1.72.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Numancia won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Numancia
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
04.02.24	Atlético Paso - Numancia	0:1 ✺
28.01.24	Numancia - Llerenense	2:0 ✺
21.01.24	Montijo - Numancia	1:0 ✺
14.01.24	Numancia - Gimnástica Segoviana	3:1 ✺
07.01.24	Numancia - Cacereño	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 WWLWW
- CD Illescas
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
04.02.24	Badajoz - Illescas	0:0 ✺
28.01.24	Illescas - Atlético Paso	0:0 ✺
20.01.24	Llerenense - Illescas	0:1 ✺
13.01.24	Illescas - Montijo	1:2 ✺
07.01.24	Illescas - Gimnástica Segoviana	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 TTWLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
01.10.23	Illescas - Numancia	1:2

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