Match Info

Cymru South - Round 2

Date: 9 August 2025, Saturday


	Trefelin		Newport City

	1	X	2
	1.9	4.05	2.92
	1.93	4.34	2.97
	2.34	3.74	2.63	Watch
	1.94	4	3.08
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.03 ↑ (1.87)	4.03 ↓ (4.05)	2.9 ↓ (3.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Trefelin
45.4%

Draw
22.8%

Newport City
31.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.6%

22.4%

29%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Trefelin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Newport City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

Trefelin - Newport City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
16', 0 - 1, Graham J. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
50', 0 - 2, McLaggon K. (Pen),

Preview

In recent matches, Newport City has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Trefelin could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Trefelin won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 2:2).

Including home match between the teams, Trefelin won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Trefelin BGC
Welsh League Cup
02.08.25	Trefelin - Pen-y-Bont	1:6 ✺
Welsh Cymru South
25.07.25	Trethomas Bluebirds - Trefelin	1:2 ✺
Welsh League Cup
18.07.25	Caerau Ely - Trefelin	3:4 ✺
Welsh Cymru South
12.04.25	Llanelli - Trefelin	3:0 ✺
04.04.25	Trefelin - Taffs Well AFC	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 LWWLW
- Newport City FC
Welsh League Cup
02.08.25	Haverfordwest County - Newport City	5:0 ✺
Welsh Cymru South
25.07.25	Newport City - Afan Lido	1:0 ✺
Welsh League Cup
20.07.25	Newport City - Baglan Dragons	2:0 ✺
Club Friendly
16.07.25	Cardiff Metropolitan - Newport City	1:1 ✺
12.07.25	Penrhiwceiber Rangers - Newport City	5:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 LWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Welsh Cymru South
13.12.24	Trefelin - Newport City	4:3
07.09.24	Newport City - Trefelin	1:0

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