Match Info

Cymru South - Round 7

Date: 4 September 2026, Friday


	Baglan Dragons		Afan Lido

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.35	2.55
	2.28	3.39	2.69
	2.4	3.55	2.7	Watch
	2.2	3.3	2.6
	2.27	3.42	2.63
	2.3	3.4	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.29 ↓ (2.4)	3.4 ↓ (3.65)	2.62 ↑ (2.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Baglan Dragons
39.2%

Draw
26.4%

Afan Lido
34.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.7%

25.4%

35.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.8%

25.3%

35.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Baglan Dragons has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Afan Lido has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Baglan Dragons than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Afan Lido than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Baglan Dragons - Afan Lido Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
13', 1 - 0, Jones T. ⚽,
29', 2 - 0, Jones T. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
68', 2 - 1, Baker J. ⚽,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 5 and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Baglan Dragons won 3.

Baglan Dragons is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Afan Lido's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Baglan Dragons won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:7. (average 1.6:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Baglan Dragons won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:6. (average 1.3:1.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Baglan Dragons	10	5	1	4	11:11	0	16
9	Afan Lido	10	3	2	5	13:17	-4	11

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Baglan Dragons
Welsh Cymru South
31.08.26	Baglan Dragons - Caerphilly Athletic	0:1 ✺
28.08.26	Baglan Dragons - Caerau Ely	3:1 ✺
21.08.26	Newport City - Baglan Dragons	0:1 ✺
15.08.26	Llantwit Major - Baglan Dragons	0:1 ✺
31.07.26	Trethomas Bluebirds - Baglan Dragons	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.9 LWWWT
- Afan Lido
Welsh Cymru South
31.08.26	Afan Lido - Ynyshir Albions	0:0 ✺
28.08.26	Trethomas Bluebirds - Afan Lido	5:2 ✺
21.08.26	Afan Lido - Pontardawe Town	1:0 ✺
14.08.26	Carmarthen Town - Afan Lido	3:1 ✺
07.08.26	Afan Lido - Llantwit Major	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 TLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Welsh Cymru South
26.12.25	Baglan Dragons - Afan Lido	3:1
10.10.25	Afan Lido - Baglan Dragons	1:1
08.02.25	Baglan Dragons - Afan Lido	1:1
04.10.24	Afan Lido - Baglan Dragons	0:3
12.01.24	Afan Lido - Baglan Dragons	0:2
21.10.23	Baglan Dragons - Afan Lido	0:1
Welsh League Cup
21.07.23	Baglan Dragons - Afan Lido	1:3

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