Match Info

Cymru South - Round 8

Date: 12 September 2026, Saturday


	Cardiff Draconians		Baglan Dragons

	1	X	2
	2.18	3.4	2.7
	2.34	3.64	2.72	Watch
	2.2	3.52	2.75
	2.17	3.5	2.67
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.22 ↑ (2.21)	3.52 ↑ (3.5)	2.71 ↓ (2.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cardiff Draconians
40.8%

Draw
25.8%

Baglan Dragons
33.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.2%

25.9%

32.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cardiff Draconians has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Baglan Dragons has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Cardiff Draconians - Baglan Dragons Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
3', Parsons K. 🟥,
10', 0 - 1, Jones T. ⚽,
45+2', 1 - 1, Saunders K. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
51', 2 - 1, Samson H. ⚽,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 13 and 3).

Baglan Dragons is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Baglan Dragons may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Cardiff Draconians won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).

Including home match between the teams, Cardiff Draconians won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Baglan Dragons	10	5	1	4	11:11	0	16
13	Cardiff Draconians	7	2	2	3	9:12	-3	8

Last Results with these Odds

Baglan Dragons - the odds 2.77 are the expected chance of winning is 32.86%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cardiff Draconians
Welsh Cymru South
22.08.26	Cardiff Draconians - Llanelli	4:2 ✺
15.08.26	Cardiff Draconians - Pontypridd United	1:4 ✺
07.08.26	Caerphilly Athletic - Cardiff Draconians	0:0 ✺
01.08.26	Ynyshir Albions - Cardiff Draconians	1:0 ✺
18.04.26	Cardiff Draconians - Afan Lido	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WLTLW
- Baglan Dragons
Welsh Cymru South
04.09.26	Baglan Dragons - Afan Lido	2:1 ✺
31.08.26	Baglan Dragons - Caerphilly Athletic	0:1 ✺
28.08.26	Baglan Dragons - Caerau Ely	3:1 ✺
21.08.26	Newport City - Baglan Dragons	0:1 ✺
15.08.26	Llantwit Major - Baglan Dragons	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.9 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Welsh Cymru South
14.02.26	Cardiff Draconians - Baglan Dragons	3:1
13.09.25	Baglan Dragons - Cardiff Draconians	0:0

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