Match Info

Date: 24 September 2022, Saturday

Location: Arena Fonte Nova (Salvador)

Referee: Henrique M. (Bra)


	Bahia		Operário Ferroviario

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.39	4.2	7.25
	1.38	4.1	7.5
	1.38	4.3	7.8
	1.41	4.36	10.02
	1.38	4.2	9
	1.4	4.33	8	Watch
	1.39	4.4	8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.39 ↓ (1.44)	4.27 ↑ (3.7)	8.22 ↑ (7.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bahia
66.9%

Draw
21.8%

Operário Ferroviario
11.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.2%

24.6%

12.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.5%

23%

11.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bahia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

Operário Ferroviario has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bahia than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

The ML Model estimate for Operário Ferroviario aligns with the current prediction.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
68.2%	13.6%	18.2%

Bahia - Operário Ferroviario Predictions

Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. Bahia will win (votes: 15 - 68.2%). Operário PR will win (votes: 4 - 18.2%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 13.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bahia: 48.7% – 87.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A and 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage)).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

In this match Bahia is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Bahia won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- EC Bahia
Brazilian Serie B
12.09.22	Sport Recife - Bahia	1:0 ✺
08.09.22	Criciúma - Bahia	0:0 ✺
03.09.22	Bahia - Tombense	3:1 ✺
31.08.22	Ponte Preta - Bahia	2:0 ✺
28.08.22	Bahia - Vasco da Gama	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LTWLW
- Operário Ferroviario
Brazilian Serie B
13.09.22	Operário Ferroviario - Guarani	0:1 ✺
08.09.22	Cruzeiro - Operário Ferroviario	1:0 ✺
03.09.22	Operário Ferroviario - Londrina	1:0 ✺
30.08.22	Ituano - Operário Ferroviario	0:0 ✺
27.08.22	Operário Ferroviario - CS Alagoano	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 LLWTT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
11.06.22	Operário Ferroviario - Bahia	0:1

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