Match Info

Date: 31 August 2022, Wednesday

Location: Estádio Moisés Lucarelli (Campinas)

Referee: Traci R. (Bra)


	Ponte Preta		Bahia

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.95	2.8	2.55
	2.95	2.75	2.5
	2.95	2.8	2.55
	3.11	2.95	2.69
	3	2.8	2.6
	2.96	2.96	2.55	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.99 ↑ (2.97)	2.84 ↓ (2.94)	2.57 ↑ (2.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ponte Preta
31.1%

Draw
32.7%

Bahia
36.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.3%

31.6%

37.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.9%

32%

37.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ponte Preta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Bahia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ponte Preta than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bahia than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
23.3%	65.1%	11.6%

Ponte Preta - Bahia Predictions

Users Predictions: 43 users predict this event. Ponte Preta will win (votes: 10 - 23.3%). Bahia will win (votes: 5 - 11.6%). It will Tie (votes: 28 - 65.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 50.9% – 79.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 12 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Ponte Preta won 0.

Recent matches Ponte Preta is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Bahia is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Ponte Preta could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

There will not play in Ponte Preta: Everton (Injury) Fabinho (Injury) Leo Naldi (Injury) Ramon Carvalho (Injury) Wesley Fraga (Injury)

There are questionable in Ponte Preta: Danilo Gomes (Injury) Ribamar (Injury)

Last 6 head-to-head matches Ponte Preta won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 2-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Ponte Preta won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AA Ponte Preta
Brazilian Serie B
25.08.22	Grêmio Novorizontino - Ponte Preta	1:1 ✺
20.08.22	Ponte Preta - Guarani	1:0 ✺
12.08.22	Brusque - Ponte Preta	2:1 ✺
09.08.22	Ponte Preta - Vasco da Gama	3:1 ✺
04.08.22	CRB Maceio - Ponte Preta	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 TWLWT
- EC Bahia
Brazilian Serie B
28.08.22	Bahia - Vasco da Gama	2:1 ✺
16.08.22	Londrina - Bahia	1:1 ✺
12.08.22	Bahia - Ituano	2:0 ✺
09.08.22	Sampaio Corrêa - Bahia	2:0 ✺
06.08.22	Bahia - CS Alagoano	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
20.05.22	Bahia - Ponte Preta	2:1
Brazilian Serie A
05.11.17	Bahia - Ponte Preta	2:0
12.07.17	Ponte Preta - Bahia	0:3
06.10.13	Bahia - Ponte Preta	1:1
13.07.13	Ponte Preta - Bahia	0:0
18.11.12	Bahia - Ponte Preta	1:0
15.08.12	Ponte Preta - Bahia	N/A

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