Match Info

Date: 13 August 2022, Saturday

Location: Estádio Vasco da Gama (Rio de Janeiro)

Referee: Vuaden L. (Bra)


	Vasco da Gama		Tombense

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.53	3.3	7.5
	1.47	3.5	7.5
	1.53	3.4	7.2
	1.53	3.7	8.65
	1.55	3.2	8
	1.59	3.3	7.3	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↓ (1.73)	3.4 ↑ (3.22)	7.69 ↑ (5.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Vasco da Gama
60.6%

Draw
27.3%

Tombense
12.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.7%

29.3%

15.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.7%

28.2%

16.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vasco da Gama has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Vasco da Gama's performance.

Tombense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vasco da Gama than the current prediction. (-7.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Vasco da Gama that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tombense than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
57.9%	15.8%	26.3%

Vasco da Gama - Tombense Predictions

Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Vasco will win (votes: 11 - 57.9%). Tombense will win (votes: 5 - 26.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 15.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Vasco: 35.7% – 80.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A and 6).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Vasco could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Vasco is absolute favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Vasco won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vasco da Gama
Brazilian Serie B
09.08.22	Ponte Preta - Vasco da Gama	3:1 ✺
31.07.22	Vasco da Gama - Chapecoense	0:0 ✺
28.07.22	Vasco da Gama - CRB Maceio	4:0 ✺
23.07.22	Vila Nova - Vasco da Gama	1:0 ✺
19.07.22	Vasco da Gama - Ituano	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.9 LTWLT
- Tombense FC
Brazilian Serie B
09.08.22	Tombense - Vila Nova	0:0 ✺
06.08.22	Cruzeiro - Tombense	2:0 ✺
29.07.22	Tombense - Sampaio Corrêa	3:0 ✺
25.07.22	Operário Ferroviario - Tombense	0:0 ✺
19.07.22	Tombense - Criciúma	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 TLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
01.05.22	Tombense - Vasco da Gama	1:1
Copa do Brasil
07.04.21	Tombense - Vasco da Gama	1:2

Upcoming Matches