Match Info

BRAZIL: COPA DO BRASIL - 1/64-FINALS

Date: 1 March 2023, Wednesday


	Bahia de Feira		Red Bull Bragantino

	1	X	2
	8	4.2	1.45
	6	4.2	1.42
	6.2	4.1	1.42
	7.83	4.4	1.4
	7	3.9	1.42
	7.6	4.65	1.4
	6.6	4.3	1.44
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.03 ↑ (5.06)	4.25 ↑ (3.85)	1.42 ↓ (1.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bahia de Feira
13.2%

Draw
21.8%

Red Bull Bragantino
65.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17.9%

23.6%

58.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.7%

21.4%

53.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bahia de Feira has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

Red Bull Bragantino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Red Bull Bragantino's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bahia de Feira than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bahia de Feira, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Red Bull Bragantino than the current prediction. (-11.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Red Bull Bragantino, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	8.3%	41.7%

Bahia de Feira - Red Bull Bragantino Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Bahia de Feira will win (votes: 6 - 50%). RB Bragantino will win (votes: 5 - 41.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 8.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bahia de Feira: 21.7% – 78.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Bahia de Feira is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

RB Bragantino is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Bahia de Feira could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match RB Bragantino is indisputable favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bahia de Feira
Brazilian Campeonato Baiano
26.02.23	Bahia de Feira - Jacobinense	3:0 ✺
12.02.23	Bahia de Feira - Itabuna	4:0 ✺
08.02.23	Bahia - Bahia de Feira	2:1 ✺
05.02.23	Bahia de Feira - Jacuipense	3:2 ✺
31.01.23	Juazeirense - Bahia de Feira	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 WWLWT
- Red Bull Bragantino
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
25.02.23	Red Bull Bragantino - Ituano	5:1 ✺
22.02.23	Palmeiras - Red Bull Bragantino	2:0 ✺
15.02.23	Água Santa - Red Bull Bragantino	1:0 ✺
11.02.23	Red Bull Bragantino - Mirassol	0:0 ✺
08.02.23	Red Bull Bragantino - São Paulo	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WLLTW

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