Match Info

Serie A Betano - Round 29

Date: 7 October 2026, Wednesday

Location: Estádio Municipal Cicero De Souza Marques (Bragança Paulista)

Referee: Claus R. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Globoplay, Premiere
Ecuador	Canal del Futbol
Usa	Fanatiz


	Red Bull Bragantino		Mirassol

	1	X	2
	1.66	4.10	4.20	Watch
	1.68	4.00	4.75
	1.63	3.95	4.90
	1.76	4.00	4.89
	1.67	4.18	4.82	Watch
	1.72	3.90	4.80
	1.71	4.21	4.54	Watch
	1.71	3.90	4.40
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↓ (1.83)	4.03 ↑ (3.76)	4.66 ↑ (4.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Red Bull Bragantino
56.1%

Draw
23.6%

Mirassol
20.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.9%

25.3%

22.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.6%

27.1%

21.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Red Bull Bragantino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

Mirassol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Red Bull Bragantino than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mirassol than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
68.4%	26.3%	5.3%

Red Bull Bragantino - Mirassol Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. RB Bragantino will win (votes: 13 - 72.2%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 27.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for RB Bragantino: 51.5% – 92.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. RB Bragantino (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
18. Tiago Volpi (G) 52. Tavares R. 16. Gustavo Marques (C) 2. Rodriguez G. 29. Juninho Capixaba 28. Patrick Silva 7. Eric Ramires 21. Lucas Barbosa 47. Wallace Yan 11. Fernando Santos 8. Eduardo Sasha	22. Walter (G) 32. Igor Formiga 34. Joao Victor (C) 3. Willian Machado 6. Reinaldo 25. Neto Moura 27. Denilson 95. Edson Carioca 33. Eduardo 10. Chico Kim 30. Bruno Santos
Substitutes
19. Bruninho 1. Cleiton (G) 3. Eduardo Santos 5. Fabinho 6. Gabriel 22. Gustavo Neves 32. Herrera J. 35. Matheus Fernandes 9. Pitta I. 23. Sant'Anna A. 12. Vanderlan 17. Vinicinho	77. Alesson 9. Andre Luis 96. Carlos Eduardo 20. Daniel Borges 44. Gabriel Knesowitsch 19. Gustavo Silva 5. Japa 2. Lucas Oliveira 7. Shaylon 90. Thomazella (G) 12. Victor Luis 80. Wallisson
Coaches
Vagner Mancini	Rafael Guanaes

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
28', Joao Victor 🟥,
30', Bruno Santos ↓, Lucas Oliveira ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Patrick Silva ↓, Pitta I. ↑,
46', Juninho Capixaba ↓, Herrera J. ↑,
51', 1 - 0, Eduardo Sasha ⚽, Wallace Yan (A),
57', Edson Carioca ↓, Andre Luis ↑,
57', Eduardo ↓, Alesson ↑,
57', Chico Kim ↓, Gabriel Knesowitsch ↑,
70', 1 - 1, Andre Luis ⚽, Alesson (A),
72', Wallace Yan ↓, Bruninho ↑,
82', Eduardo Sasha ↓, Vinicinho ↑,
82', Denilson ↓, Wallisson ↑,

Preview

A balanced mid-table encounter with both sides eager to climb into upper positions (ranked 11th in the Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: ) and 15th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, RB Bragantino won 1.

RB Bragantino is on a difficult losing run (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Performances by Mirassol have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Mirassol could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Recently, RB Bragantino has faced a series of away games on the road.

In this matchup, RB Bragantino is considered the favorite to take the win.

Confirmed absences for RB Bragantino: Davi Gomes (Knee Injury) Rodriguinho (Inactive) Sosa I. (Yellow Cards).

Confirmed absences for Mirassol: Jose Aldo (Muscle Injury) Negueba (Knee Injury).

Doubtful / questionable for RB Bragantino: Alix Vinicius (Injury).

In the last 14 head-to-head meetings, RB Bragantino has recorded 5 wins, 5 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 15:14 (averaging 1.1:1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for RB Bragantino against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 3 draws, and 1 loss, with 8:4 goals (averaging 1.1:0.6 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Bragantino	29	10	7	12	34:33	1	37
15	Mirassol	29	8	9	12	34:43	-9	33

Last Results with these Odds

Red Bull Bragantino - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 51.9%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Mirassol - the odds 4.16 are the expected chance of winning is 22.83%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Red Bull Bragantino
Brazilian Serie A
03.10.26	Atlético Mineiro - Red Bull Bragantino	1:0 ✺
20.09.26	Flamengo - Red Bull Bragantino	2:1 ✺
12.09.26	Botafogo RJ - Red Bull Bragantino	1:1 ✺
05.09.26	Red Bull Bragantino - Bahia	2:3 ✺
29.08.26	São Paulo - Red Bull Bragantino	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LLTLL
- Mirassol
Brazilian Serie A
19.09.26	Mirassol - Botafogo RJ	2:0 ✺
13.09.26	Mirassol - Vitória Salvador	2:2 ✺
06.09.26	Coritiba - Mirassol	1:2 ✺
02.09.26	Flamengo - Mirassol	2:0 ✺
30.08.26	Mirassol - Palmeiras	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 WTWLT

Latest Head to Head

Copa do Brasil
13.05.26	Mirassol - Red Bull Bragantino	2:1
22.04.26	Red Bull Bragantino - Mirassol	1:1
Brazilian Serie A
05.04.26	Mirassol - Red Bull Bragantino	0:1
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
21.01.26	Mirassol - Red Bull Bragantino	0:0
Brazilian Serie A
01.10.25	Mirassol - Red Bull Bragantino	1:1
05.05.25	Red Bull Bragantino - Mirassol	1:0
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
20.02.25	Red Bull Bragantino - Mirassol	3:0

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