The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Bala Town 31.3%
Draw 29.2%
Barry Town United 39.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
39%
26.7%
34.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
40.2%
25.9%
33.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Bala Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Bala Town's form might have worsened.
Barry Town United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Barry Town United's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bala Town than the current prediction. (+8.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bala Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barry Town United than the current prediction. (-6.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Barry Town United, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Bala Town - Barry Town United Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Torrance J. (G) 5. Bell W. 8. Burke N. (C) 44. Dean H. 3. Hall L. 17. Ibrahim O. 6. McGiveron D. 99. Mehasseb H. 7. Mendes L. 10. Owen J. 23. White R.
31. Ratcliffe G. (G) 6. Davies K. 2. George M. 22. Hulbert O. 5. Margetson B. 9. Owen Ieuan Gwyn 8. Richards E. 24. Richards W. 4. Sainty C. 21. Williams E. 7. Willmott R.
Substitutes
77. Beck L. 27. Billington S. 11. Higgins L. 14. Lumeka L. 9. Tarasenko J. 20. Tierney A. 16. Walls J.
23. Barton D. 19. Bernard J. 14. Smith D. 1. Thomas J. (G) 42. Wigley M.
Coaches
Fisher S.
Jenkins S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
64', Owen Ieuan Gwyn ↓, Wigley M. ↑,
67', Ibrahim O. ↓, Billington S. ↑,
71', Mendes L. ↓, Lumeka L. ↑,
79', Mehasseb H. ↓, Tarasenko J. ↑,
Preview
Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 8 in the zone Cymru Premier (Relegation Group: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Cymru Premier (Championship Group: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bala Town won 2.
Bala Town is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Barry Town's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Bala Town may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Bala Town won 8 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 32:31. (average 1.6:1.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Bala Town won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 17:11. (average 1.9:1.2).
Watch
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Torrance J. (G) 
Dean H. 
Ibrahim O. 
Mehasseb H. 
Mendes L. 
Tarasenko J. 
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