The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Barry Town United 41.4%
Draw 27.1%
Caernarfon Town 31.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
37.2%
27.2%
35.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
38.3%
26.4%
34.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Barry Town United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)
Caernarfon Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barry Town United than the current prediction. (-3.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Caernarfon Town than the current prediction. (+3.2%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
60%
40%
0%
Barry Town United - Caernarfon Town Predictions
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Barry Town will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Barry Town (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
31. Ratcliffe G. (G) 23. Barton D. 17. Cuddihy O. 6. Davies K. 2. George M. 22. Hulbert O. 5. Margetson B. 24. Richards W. 4. Sainty C. 14. Smith D. 7. Willmott R.
1. Roberts C. (G) 19. Bradley S. 22. Cieslewicz A. 11. Clarke Z. 8. Gosset D. 24. Harrison K. 6. Lewis I. 23. Lock J. 5. Mooney P. 27. Sears R. 14. Young B.
Substitutes
19. Bernard J. 50. Case J. M. 32. Norris J. 9. Owen I. 1. Thomas J. (G) 21. Williams E.
9. Davies A. 39. Ellis O. 2. Owen M. 25. Owen R. 10. Thomas D. 13. Thomas H. (G) 33. Williams C.
Coaches
Legg A.
Davies R.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
20', Davies K. ↓, Williams E. ↑,
36', 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
50', 1 - 0, Hulbert O. ⚽,
52', George M. 🟨,
63', Smith D. ↓, Owen I. ↑,
73', Lewis I. ↓, Owen M. ↑,
73', Young B. ↓, Davies A. ↑,
83', 2 - 0, Owen I. ⚽,
84', Lock J. ↓, Thomas D. ↑,
90+4', 2 - 1, Harrison K. ⚽,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Barry Town won 1.
Barry Town is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Caernarfon has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Caernarfon may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Barry Town won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 30:37. (average 1.5:1.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Barry Town won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 16:15. (average 1.6:1.5).
Outrights of Welsh Cymru Premier for now
Caernarfon: 2.4%
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
4
Barry
12
8
1
3
27:20
7
25
5
Caernarfon
12
7
2
3
35:14
21
23
Last Results with these Odds
Barry Town United - the odds 2.45 are the expected chance of winning is 37.22%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.
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Ratcliffe G. (G) 
Hulbert O. 
Cieslewicz A. 
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