Match Info

FA Cup - 1/32-finals

Date: 18 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Park Avenue (Aberystwyth)


	Aberystwyth Town		Barry Town United

	1	X	2
	4.15	3.8	1.65
	4.2	3.75	1.66
	4.56	3.78	1.63
	4.22	3.68	1.58
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.28 ↑ (4.22)	3.75 ↑ (3.68)	1.63 ↑ (1.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aberystwyth Town
21%

Draw
23.9%

Barry Town United
55.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.8%

23.8%

55.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.7%

22.8%

53.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aberystwyth Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Barry Town United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aberystwyth Town than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barry Town United than the current prediction. (-2%)

Aberystwyth Town - Barry Town United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
2nd Half (0 - 3)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aberystwyth won 1.

Aberystwyth is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Barry Town has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Barry Town may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Barry Town is seen as the favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Aberystwyth won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 20:28. (average 1:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Aberystwyth won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 10:13. (average 1.1:1.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aberystwyth Town
Welsh Cymru South
11.10.25	Treowen Stars - Aberystwyth Town	2:3 ✺
27.09.25	Afan Lido - Aberystwyth Town	0:1 ✺
13.09.25	Aberystwyth Town - Cwmbran Celtic	2:0 ✺
06.09.25	Cardiff Draconians - Aberystwyth Town	3:1 ✺
25.08.25	Aberystwyth Town - Ammanford	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WWWLT
- Barry Town United
Welsh Cymru Premier
11.10.25	Barry Town United - Caernarfon Town	2:2 ✺
07.10.25	Barry Town United - Briton Ferry Llansawel	0:1 ✺
04.10.25	The New Saints - Barry Town United	4:0 ✺
27.09.25	Barry Town United - Gap Connahs Quay	0:0 ✺
23.09.25	Haverfordwest County - Barry Town United	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 TLLTW

Latest Head to Head

Welsh League Cup
02.08.25	Barry Town United - Aberystwyth Town	2:1
Welsh Cymru Premier
11.03.25	Barry Town United - Aberystwyth Town	2:1
24.01.25	Aberystwyth Town - Barry Town United	1:2
27.09.24	Barry Town United - Aberystwyth Town	1:0
23.08.24	Aberystwyth Town - Barry Town United	1:0
13.04.24	Barry Town United - Aberystwyth Town	2:1
02.03.24	Aberystwyth Town - Barry Town United	1:1

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