Match Info

EUROPE: EUROPA CONFERENCE LEAGUE - GROUP STAGE - ROUND 3

Date: 26 October 2023, Thursday

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport
Croatia	Arena Sport
Finland	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Viaplay
Sweden	Viaplay


	Ballkani		Astana

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.5	3.5
	2	3.4	3.3
	2.1	3.5	3.4	Watch
	2.06	3.4	3.72
	2.03	3.32	3.72
	2.15	3.5	2.88
	2.01	3.54	3.54
	2.08	3.4	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.07 ↓ (2.18)	3.45 ↓ (3.51)	3.48 ↑ (3.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ballkani
45.6%

Draw
27.3%

Astana
27.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43%

26.6%

30.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.3%

25.8%

29.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ballkani has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Astana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ballkani than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Astana than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
84.2%	10.5%	5.3%

Ballkani - Astana Predictions

Users Predictions: Ballkani will win (16 of 19 users predict this - 84.21%).
Confidence interval (95%): 67.81% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kolici E. (G) 2. Thaqi A. 5. Dellova L. 32. Jashanica B. 19. Trashi L. 8. Limaj V. 20. Kuc E. (C) 11. Zyba Q. 10. Gripshi N. 9. Berisha A. 98. Kryeziu A.	93. Condric J. (G) 15. Beysebekov A. (C) 22. Marochkin A. 45. Amanovic A. 13. Hovhannisyan K. 29. Jovancic D. 8. Kuat I. 27. Dosmagambetov T. 23. Ourega F. 7. Ebong M. 88. Darboe D.
Substitutes
22. Dulaj K. 4. Halili G. 7. Hamidi W. 12. Hoxha A. (G) 77. Ismajlgeci M. 25. Karrica B. 92. Ljuljanovic D. (G) 30. Manaj A. 3. Potoku A. 23. Ramadani R. 18. Shala L. 99. Tolaj B.	21. Astanov E. 17. Aymbetov A. 72. Basmanov S. 11. Darabayev A. 3. Haroyan V. 44. Loncar S. 31. Podymskiy D. (G) 20. Prokopenko V. 10. Tomasov M. 55. Zarutskiy A. (G) 97. Zhaksylykov N.
Coaches
Daja I.	Babayan G.

Preview

Ballkani in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Astana is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Ballkani will have a small advantage in this match.

There will not play in Ballkani: Emerllahu L. (Ankle Injury)

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KF Ballkani
Kosovo Superliga
20.10.23	Ballkani - Liria Prizren	4:1 ✺
08.10.23	Prishtina - Ballkani	1:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
05.10.23	Ballkani - Dinamo Zagreb	2:0 ✺
Kosovo Superliga
27.09.23	Fushë Kosova - Ballkani	0:2 ✺
24.09.23	Ballkani - Malisheva	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 WTWWW
- FC Astana
Kazakh Premier League
21.10.23	Astana - Zhetysu	2:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
05.10.23	Astana - Viktoria Plzeň	1:2 ✺
Kazakh Premier League
30.09.23	Aktobe - Astana	2:0 ✺
27.09.23	Astana - Okzhetpes	5:2 ✺
24.09.23	Ordabasy - Astana	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 WLLWW

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