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Current Win Probability
Baltika Kaliningrad 69.2%
Draw 20.8%
Sochi 9.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
62.6%
24%
13.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
64.6%
23.3%
12.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Baltika Kaliningrad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Baltika Kaliningrad's performance.
Sochi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Baltika Kaliningrad than the current prediction. (-4.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sochi than the current prediction. (+3%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
100%
0%
0%
Baltika Kaliningrad - Sochi Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH +1.25 - Sochi (2.00) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Baltika Kaliningrad will win
(5 of 5 users predict this - 100%). Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Sochi (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
67. Borisko M. (G) 23. Beveev M. 2. Varatynov S. 25. Filin A. (C) 4. Gassama N. 77. Civic E. 73. Petrov M. 22. Titkov N. 10. Petrov I. 15. Yenne T. 91. Gil B.
35. Degtev A. (G) 82. Volkov S. 4. Litvinov V. 3. Soldatenkov A. 17. Makarchuk A. 16. Mukhin M. 19. Kovalenko A. 27. Zaika K. (C) 10. Kramaric M. 7. Zinkovskiy A. 9. Fedorov Z.
Substitutes
21. Anderson E. 26. Belikov I. 14. Kovac S. 11. Kovalev Y. 81. Kukushkin I. (G) 44. Lyubakov E. (G) 82. Makarov A. 69. Manelov I. 5. Mourid A. 90. Offor C. 68. Ryadno M.
59. Bart R. 99. Dyupin Y. (G) 29. Ezhov R. 8. Ignatov M. 45. Kamano F. 18. Korneev A. 14. Kravtsov K. 11. Meleshin P. 66. Metsiev A. 60. Nosatiy M. 85. Silev D. (G)
Coaches
Nagajcev J.
Osinkin I.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
5', 1 - 0, Volkov S. (Own goal),
12', 2 - 0, Filin A. ⚽, Gassama N. (A),
40', Civic E. 🟨,
45+3', Filin A. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
56', Yenne T. ↓, Ryadno M. ↑,
56', Civic E. ↓, Manelov I. ↑,
61', Volkov S. ↓, Kamano F. ↑,
65', Gil B. ↓, Offor C. ↑,
65', Titkov N. ↓, Belikov I. ↑,
73', Beveev M. 🟨,
78', Fedorov Z. ↓, Ignatov M. ↑,
78', Kramaric M. ↓, Meleshin P. ↑,
83', Litvinov V. 🟨,
84', 3 - 0, Petrov M. (Penalty Awarded),
87', 4 - 0, Ryadno M. ⚽,
89', Zinkovskiy A. ↓, Metsiev A. ↑,
89', Mukhin M. ↓, Korneev A. ↑,
90+2', Petrov M. ↓, Anderson E. ↑,
90+5', Zaika K. 🟥,
Preview
One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 4 and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ FNL).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Baltika won 2.
Recent performances by Baltika have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Sochi's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Recently, Sochi has had a series of home games.
In this match, Baltika is the undisputed favorite.
There will not play in Baltika: Andrade K.
(Yellow Cards)
There will not play in Sochi: Marcelo Alves
(Yellow Cards)
Vasiljev D.
(Yellow Cards)
In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Baltika won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:10. (average 1:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Baltika won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 1:0.8).
Asia
Belarus
Russia
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Borisko M. (G) 
Gassama N. 
Civic E. 
Yenne T. 
Gil B. 
Kramaric M. 
Anderson E. 
Kovalev Y. 
Mourid A. 
Kamano F. 
Nagajcev J. 
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