The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Balzan 40.3%
Draw 28.2%
Żabbar St. Patrick 31.5%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
39.1%
28.9%
32%
Our Initial ML Estimation
41.4%
27.3%
30.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Balzan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)
Żabbar St. Patrick has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Balzan than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Żabbar St. Patrick than the current prediction. (-1.3%)
Balzan - Żabbar St. Patrick Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Ciappara D. (G) 14. Dimeji A. 2. Djoric N. 18. Ederson 21. Gabriel Santos 42. Grech Z. 17. Guehi S. 7. Kuach Yuel V. 96. Leo Fernandes 11. Macula 8. Pulis N. (C)
30. Mohorovic P. (G) 2. Brucic K. 18. Gouhon P. F. 10. Joao Mafra 21. Jovancic S. 15. Jovicic M. 7. Lancioni N. 22. Leonardi Z. 4. Magri S. 16. Micallef J. 29. Vinicius Kanu
Substitutes
5. Arab S. 24. Cassar Z. 25. Celic V. 23. Cipriott S. 99. Djalo M. (G) 6. Grech J. 19. Lapira L. 10. Majok A. 22. Micallef K. 4. Portelli J. 9. Yahaya M.
11. Agius N. 33. Agyeman A. 3. Aquilina J. 39. Callus A. 77. Ellard A. 70. Fenech K. 89. Fontanella M. 1. Leon S. (G) 71. Melillo T. 32. Moriceau T. 31. Zerafa L.
Coaches
Cohen A.
Agius G.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
6', 1 - 0, Kuach Yuel V. ⚽,
21', 1 - 1, Jovicic M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Pulis N. ↓, Cipriott S. ↑,
51', Dimeji A. 🟨,
58', Micallef J. ↓, Melillo T. ↑,
58', Kuach Yuel V. 🟨,
62', Jovicic M. 🟨,
63', Guehi S. 🟨,
69', Jovicic M. ↓, Moriceau T. ↑,
73', Kuach Yuel V. ↓, Yahaya M. ↑,
75', 1 - 2, Vinicius Kanu ⚽,
78', Magri S. ↓, Ellard A. ↑,
78', Vinicius Kanu ↓, Fontanella M. ↑,
83', Grech Z. ↓, Portelli J. ↑,
89', Dimeji A. 🟥,
90', Joao Mafra 🟨,
90+1', Ellard A. 🟨,
90+3', Gabriel Santos 🟨,
Preview
Important points are at stake as a mid-tier club meets a struggling opponent (ranked 7th in the Premier League (First stage - Play Out: ) and 10th in the Premier League (First stage - Play Out: )).
Balzan has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Żabbar has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Balzan holding a narrow advantage.
In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Balzan has recorded 0 wins, 1 draw, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 3:9 (averaging 0.8:2.3 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Balzan against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with 1:4 goals (averaging 0.5:2 per game).