Match Info

Challenge League - Promotion Group - Round 6

Date: 11 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Centenary Stadium (Ta' Qali)


	Melita		Fgura United

	1	X	2
	1.72	3.8	3.75
	1.65	4.06	3.85
	1.67	4.18	3.91	Watch
	1.67	3.6	4
	1.62	4.05	4.22
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↓ (1.69)	3.94 ↓ (3.97)	3.95 ↓ (4)

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Melita
54.2%

Draw
22.9%

Fgura United
22.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.1%

23%

22.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.9%

22.3%

22.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Melita has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

The chances for Fgura United have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Melita than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fgura United than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
3', 0 - 1, Mosquera Larrahondo S. D. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

In this match, Melita is a strong favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Melita won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:10. (average 2.7:3.3).

Including home match between the teams, Melita won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:4.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Fgura	2	1	1	0	5:1	4	4
7	Melita	2	1	0	1	4:2	2	3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Melita FC
Maltese Challenge League
04.04.26	Swieqi United - Melita	Melita Awarded ✺
14.03.26	Melita - St. Andrews	3:0 ✺
08.03.26	Pietà Hotspurs - Melita	1:0 ✺
28.02.26	Birżebbuġa St. Peters - Melita	2:1 ✺
22.02.26	Melita - Sirens	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 ?WLLW
- Fgura United
Maltese Challenge League
04.04.26	Fgura United - Pietà Hotspurs	1:0 ✺
15.03.26	Sirens - Fgura United	3:2 ✺
10.03.26	Fgura United - Balzan	1:2 ✺
01.03.26	Fgura United - St. Andrews	2:0 ✺
22.02.26	Birżebbuġa St. Peters - Fgura United	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Maltese Challenge League
25.10.25	Fgura United - Melita	2:3
17.12.23	Fgura United - Melita	4:3
08.09.22	Melita - Fgura United	2:4

Melita - Fgura United: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide