Match Info

Copa Libertadores - Group Stage - Round 1

Date: 7 April 2026, Tuesday

Location: Estadio Malvinas Argentinas (Mendoza)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+, FOX Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA English 2, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Bolivia	ESPN 2, ESPN 5
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Canada	beIN Connect, beIN Sports XTRA Espanol
Chile	Disney+, ESPN Premium
Colombia	Disney+, ESPN 2, ESPN 5
Ecuador	ESPN 2, ESPN 5
Italy	Como TV
Mexico	Disney+
New-zealand	beIN Connect
Paraguay	ESPN 2, ESPN 5
Peru	Disney+, ESPN 2, ESPN 5
South-america	ViX Latin America
Spain	LaLiga+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	beIN Connect, beIN Sports US XTRA Espanol, Fanatiz, Fubo Latino, Tubi TV
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN 2, ESPN 5, Inter


	Independiente Rivadavia		Bolívar

	1	X	2
	1.48	4.33	6.5	Watch
	1.5	3.95	6.4	Watch
	1.5	4.25	7.08
	1.19	6.59	14.62	Watch
	1.44	3.9	6.5
	1.5	4.32	6.89	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.44 ↓ (1.58)	4.56 ↑ (3.85)	8 ↑ (5.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Independiente Rivadavia
66.9%

Draw
21.1%

Bolívar
12%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.4%

24.4%

16.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.3%

26%

15.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Independiente Rivadavia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Independiente Rivadavia's performance.

Bolívar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente Rivadavia than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bolívar than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	14.3%	0%

Independiente Rivadavia - Bolívar Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.5 - Bolívar (6.30) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Independiente Rivadavia will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Bolívar (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Bolcato N. (G) 36. Bonifacio E. 40. Villalba I. 2. Costa L. 42. Studer S. 14. Gomez L. 43. Sartori F. 25. Florentin Bobadilla J. I. 10. Fernandez M. 22. Villa S. (C) 9. Arce A.	1. Lampe C. (G) 2. Sagredo J. 3. Arreaga X. 5. Echeverria S. 4. Sagredo J. 23. Justiniano L. (C) 14. Robson Matheus 11. Oyola B. 10. Aleman C. 77. Romero D. 9. Cauteruccio M.
Substitutes
15. Arena N. 19. Atencio R. 5. Bottari T. 8. Bucca L. 27. Crego D. 17. Dadin B. 3. Elordi J. M. 21. Gomez Riga E. F. (G) 13. Osella A. 7. Ramis V. 20. Riep A. 11. Rios G.	18. Chavez Cruz L. L. 35. Freita E. 19. Garcia J. 80. Melgar C. A. 13. Mendez D. (G) 17. Pato Rodriguez 8. Paz L. 26. Saavedra E. 20. Sejas C. 6. Vaca Moreno E. 15. Vedia C. 7. Velasquez J.
Coaches
Berti A.	Robatto F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
1', 1 - 0, Lampe C. (Own goal),
22', Fernandez M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
61', Oyola B. ↓, Pato Rodriguez ↑,
62', Aleman C. ↓, Melgar C. A. ↑,
67', Costa L. ↓, Bottari T. ↑,
72', Echeverria S. 🟥,
74', Fernandez M. ↓, Rios G. ↑,
74', Arce A. ↓, Atencio R. ↑,
74', Cauteruccio M. ↓, Vaca Moreno E. ↑,
85', Robson Matheus ↓, Saavedra E. ↑,
90', Florentin Bobadilla J. I. ↓, Bucca L. ↑,
90', Sartori F. ↓, Dadin B. ↑,

Preview

Right now, both teams are showing solid form.

In this match, Independiente R is the undeniable favorite.

There will not play in Independiente R: Macagno R. (Injury)

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Outrights of Copa Libertadores for now

Ind. Rivadavia: 1.93%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Independiente Rivadavia
Argentinian Liga Profesional
02.04.26	Tigre - Independiente Rivadavia	0:2 ✺
22.03.26	Independiente Rivadavia - Rosario Central	2:0 ✺
15.03.26	Gimnasia La Plata - Independiente Rivadavia	2:3 ✺
11.03.26	Independiente Rivadavia - Barracas Central	1:2 ✺
02.03.26	Independiente Rivadavia - River Plate	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.2 WWWLT
- Bolívar La Paz
Bolivian Division Profesional
03.04.26	Bolívar - Real Oruro	5:2 ✺
Bolivian Torneo Amistoso de Verano
08.03.26	Bolívar - Always Ready	3:1 penalties ✺
05.03.26	Always Ready - Bolívar	3:2 ✺
28.02.26	Blooming - Bolívar	1:3 ✺
25.02.26	Bolívar - Blooming	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WWLWW

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