Match Info

Liga Profesional - Apertura - Round 12

Date: 22 March 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Juan Bautista Gargantini (Mendoza)

Referee: Echavarria P. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	ESPN Premium
Usa	Fanatiz
World	TyC Sports Internacional


	Independiente Rivadavia		Rosario Central

	1	X	2
	2.82	2.82	2.82	Watch
	2.65	2.95	2.8
	2.78	2.88	2.78	Watch
	2.89	2.94	2.89
	2.82	2.92	2.82	Watch
	2.75	2.8	2.7
	2.77	2.83	2.79	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.78 ↓ (2.85)	2.88 ↓ (2.89)	2.8 ↑ (2.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Independiente Rivadavia
33.8%

Draw
32.7%

Rosario Central
33.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.8%

32.3%

34.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.7%

32.2%

35%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Independiente Rivadavia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Rosario Central has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente Rivadavia than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rosario Central than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
69.2%	15.4%	15.4%

Independiente Rivadavia - Rosario Central Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Independiente R will win (votes: 9 - 69.2%). Rosario will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 15.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Independiente R: 44.1% – 94.3%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Independiente R (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Bolcato N. (G) 36. Bonifacio E. 40. Villalba I. 42. Studer S. 14. Gomez L. 19. Atencio R. 5. Bottari T. 25. Florentin Bobadilla J. I. 43. Sartori F. 9. Arce A. 22. Villa S. (C)	23. Ledesma C. (G) 46. Ovando I. 15. Mallo Blanco F. (C) 13. Avila G. 3. Sandez A. 5. Ibarra F. 20. Pizarro V. 16. Gimenez E. 28. Fernandez P. 8. Campaz J. 9. Veliz A.
Substitutes
8. Bucca L. 2. Costa L. 27. Crego D. 3. Elordi J. M. 10. Fernandez M. 21. Gomez Riga E. F. (G) 34. Moreyra S. 13. Osella A. 20. Riep A. 11. Rios G. 45. Sabato L. 32. Vazquez K. A.	1. Broun J. (G) 26. Cantizano G. 22. Copetti E. 11. Di Maria A. 27. Duarte G. 31. Navarro F. 39. Oviedo F. 2. Quintana C. 47. Raffin L. 35. Ramos L. 33. Soto A. 42. Veron E.
Coaches
Berti A.	Almiron J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
16', 1 - 0, Gomez L. ⚽,
29', 2 - 0, Arce A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
61', Fernandez P. ↓, Copetti E. ↑,
62', Gimenez E. ↓, Duarte G. ↑,
70', Copetti E. 🟨,
71', Atencio R. ↓, Fernandez M. ↑,
76', Sandez A. 🟨,
82', Sartori F. ↓, Bucca L. ↑,
83', Sandez A. ↓, Soto A. ↑,
89', Bottari T. ↓, Costa L. ↑,
89', Arce A. ↓, Crego D. ↑,
89', Gomez L. ↓, Elordi J. M. ↑,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

Independiente R has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Rosario is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Rosario may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

There will not play in Rosario: Copetti E. (Inactive) Coronel E. (Inactive) Gimenez J. (Knee Injury) Komar J. (Heart Problems) Ruben M. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Independiente R: Macagno R. (Injury)

There are questionable in Rosario: Fernandez J. (Injury)

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Independiente R won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:7. (average 1:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Independiente R won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:4. (average 1:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Independiente Rivadavia
Argentinian Liga Profesional
15.03.26	Gimnasia La Plata - Independiente Rivadavia	2:3 ✺
11.03.26	Independiente Rivadavia - Barracas Central	1:2 ✺
02.03.26	Independiente Rivadavia - River Plate	1:1 ✺
26.02.26	Racing - Independiente Rivadavia	1:1 ✺
21.02.26	Independiente Rivadavia - Independiente	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.1 WLTTW
- Rosario Central
Argentinian Liga Profesional
14.03.26	Rosario Central - Banfield	2:1 ✺
11.03.26	Argentinos Juniors - Rosario Central	0:0 ✺
01.03.26	Newells Old Boys - Rosario Central	0:2 ✺
25.02.26	Gimnasia La Plata - Rosario Central	1:2 ✺
20.02.26	Rosario Central - Talleres de Córdoba	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 WTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Liga Profesional
04.11.24	Independiente Rivadavia - Rosario Central	1:1
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
08.02.24	Rosario Central - Independiente Rivadavia	1:0
Argentinian Primera Nacional
08.04.13	Independiente Rivadavia - Rosario Central	1:3
08.10.12	Rosario Central - Independiente Rivadavia	2:2

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