Match Info

TOPLYGA - Round 18

Date: 20 June 2026, Saturday

Location: Gargzdai stadium (Gargzdai)

Referee: Smitas R. (Ltu)

Where to Watch on TV:


Lithuania	LNK


	Banga Gargždai		Žalgiris

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.00	3.20	2.10
	3.4	3.2	1.95
	3.72	3.3	2.08
	3.08	3.23	2.3	Watch
	3.4	3	2
	3.31	3.52	2.07	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.32 ↑ (3.03)	3.24 ↓ (3.65)	2.08 ↓ (2.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Banga Gargždai
27.7%

Draw
28.3%

Žalgiris
44%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.7%

25.5%

43.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.3%

25.2%

44.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Banga Gargždai has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Žalgiris has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Banga Gargždai than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Žalgiris than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	0%	83.3%

Banga Gargždai - Žalgiris Predictions

Users Predictions: Žalgiris will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
14. Krynskyi V. (G) 19. Antuzis V. (C) 27. Henning R. 6. Simao J. 51. Cadu 45. Sato M. 11. Filipavicius R. 21. Praleika S. 99. Olugbogi A. 3. Malzinskas D. 10. Magdusauskas V.	12. Sarkauskas V. (G) 18. Sesplaukis D. 5. Turda G. 15. Bosancic P. 21. Franke D. 77. Kendysh Y. 22. Verbickas O. (C) 19. Bilenkyi S. 10. Golubickas P. 70. Teixeira B. 11. Petkovic N.
Substitutes
22. Ambrazaitis M. 17. Andrejev M. 30. Cande U. 47. Fosuhene Asare K. 12. Grinkevicius L. (G) 20. Levsinas A. 7. Norvilas D. 1. Vitkauskas A. (G) 13. Zebrauskas N.	8. Antal L. 6. Capan M. 9. Jarusevicius G. 4. Koy Lupano D. 7. Mihajlovic N. 1. Olses C. (G) 14. Setkus M.
Coaches
Marques Afonso D.	Skerla A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
9', 1 - 0, Olugbogi A. ⚽,
37', Malzinskas D. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Bosancic P. ↓, Koy Lupano D. ↑,
46', Cadu ↓, Levsinas A. ↑,
54', 2 - 0, Filipavicius R. ⚽,
56', Verbickas O. ↓, Capan M. ↑,
56', Franke D. ↓, Setkus M. ↑,
72', Petkovic N. ↓, Mihajlovic N. ↑,
72', Sato M. ↓, Andrejev M. ↑,
72', Magdusauskas V. ↓, Norvilas D. ↑,
81', 3 - 0, Andrejev M. ⚽,
84', Filipavicius R. ↓, Cande U. ↑,
84', Olugbogi A. ↓, Fosuhene Asare K. ↑,
86', Kendysh Y. ↓, Jarusevicius G. ↑,
89', Norvilas D. 🟨,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 6 and 4).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Banga won 1.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Žalgiris may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Banga has had a series of away games.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Banga won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 16 matches, and goals 13:42. (average 0.7:2.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Banga won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 4:21. (average 0.4:2.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Zalgiris	28	13	5	10	41:34	7	44
5	Banga	28	11	8	9	32:28	4	41

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Banga Gargždai
Lithuanian TOPLYGA
17.06.26	Kauno Žalgiris - Banga Gargždai	0:1 ✺
13.06.26	Sūduva Marijampolė - Banga Gargždai	0:0 ✺
30.05.26	Banga Gargždai - FA Šiauliai	1:1 ✺
24.05.26	Panevėžys - Banga Gargždai	1:0 ✺
Lithuanian Cup
20.05.26	Džiugas Telšiai - Banga Gargždai	1:0 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.2 WTTLL
- Žalgiris Vilnius
Lithuanian TOPLYGA
16.06.26	Žalgiris - Panevėžys	3:0 ✺
12.06.26	Žalgiris - Riteriai	3:2 ✺
31.05.26	Kauno Žalgiris - Žalgiris	0:1 ✺
24.05.26	Žalgiris - Hegelmann Litauen	1:3 ✺
17.05.26	Transinvest - Žalgiris	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Lithuanian TOPLYGA
17.04.26	Žalgiris - Banga Gargždai	1:1
13.09.25	Banga Gargždai - Žalgiris	0:2
04.07.25	Žalgiris - Banga Gargždai	1:0
03.05.25	Banga Gargždai - Žalgiris	2:0
15.03.25	Žalgiris - Banga Gargždai	1:1
Lithuanian Super Cup
22.02.25	Žalgiris - Banga Gargždai	3:2 penalties
Lithuanian TOPLYGA
01.09.24	Žalgiris - Banga Gargždai	2:1

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