Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 4 - ROUND 20

Date: 12 February 2023, Sunday


	Barakaldo		Vitoria

	1	X	2
	1.71	3.4	4.1
	1.72	3.05	4.2
	1.61	3.37	5.1
	1.64	3.58	5.1
	1.7	3.3	4.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↓ (1.69)	3.34 ↓ (3.6)	4.65 ↑ (4.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Barakaldo
53.7%

Draw
26.9%

Vitoria
19.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.6%

25.2%

21.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.4%

28.4%

18.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Barakaldo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Vitoria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barakaldo than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Barakaldo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vitoria than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Barakaldo - Vitoria Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 4 (Play Offs)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Barakaldo won 3.

Barakaldo is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Vitoria is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Barakaldo could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Barakaldo is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Barakaldo to win the game is with odds 1.72.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Barakaldo won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Barakaldo won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Barakaldo CF
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
04.02.23	Basconia - Barakaldo	0:1 ✺
29.01.23	Barakaldo - Lagun Onak	2:0 ✺
21.01.23	Urduliz - Barakaldo	1:1 ✺
15.01.23	Barakaldo - Aurrerá Ondarroa	4:0 ✺
07.01.23	Deusto - Barakaldo	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 WWTWT
- CD Vitoria
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
04.02.23	Vitoria - Deusto	2:2 ✺
28.01.23	Touring KE - Vitoria	0:2 ✺
21.01.23	Vitoria - Aurrerá de Vitoria	2:1 ✺
14.01.23	Durango - Vitoria	0:3 ✺
07.01.23	Padura - Vitoria	0:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 TWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
08.10.22	Vitoria - Barakaldo	0:1
02.02.22	Barakaldo - Vitoria	2:1
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
10.03.19	Barakaldo - Vitoria	2:2
20.10.18	Vitoria - Barakaldo	0:1
08.04.18	Barakaldo - Vitoria	1:1
11.11.17	Vitoria - Barakaldo	0:0

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