Match Info

EUROPE: Champions League - Play Offs - 1/8-finals

Date: 11 March 2025, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadi Olímpic Lluís Companys (Barcelona) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Letexier F. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Afghanistan	22:15	Asr TV, Meraj Sport, Solh Sports 1
Africa	—	DStv Now, New World Sport App, SuperSport Football Plus, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SuperSport Premier League
Argentina	14:45	Disney+, ESPN
Armenia	21:45	Fast Sports
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, TOD
Australia	04:45	Stan Sport
Austria	18:45	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1, Sky Sport Austria 5
Azerbaijan	21:45	Ictimai TV
Belgium	18:45	Pickx+ Sports 2, Pickx+ Sports 2, Play Sports 1, Play Sports 4
Bosnia And Herzegovina	18:45	Arena Sport 1
Brazil	14:45	Max
Bulgaria	19:45	Max Sport 3
Canada	13:45	DAZN Canada
Chile	14:45	Disney+
Colombia	12:45	Disney+, ESPN
Croatia	18:45	Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	19:45	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3
Czech Republic	18:45	Nova Sport 4
Denmark	18:45	TV3 Sport, Viaplay
Finland	19:45	MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1
France	18:45	beIN Sports MENA French 1, beIN Sports MENA French 1, beIN Sports MENA French 1, Canal+ Live 4, CANAL+ Sport, Free
Georgia	21:45	Silk Sport 1
Germany	18:45	DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 1 Deutsch
Greece	19:45	COSMOTE Sport 7
Hong Kong	01:45	beIN Sports 3
Hungary	18:45	RTL+, Sport 1
Iceland	17:45	Viaplay
India	23:15	JioTV app, Sony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 2, Sony Sports TEN 3
Indonesia	00:45	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Vidio
Ireland	17:45	Virgin Media Player, Virgin Media Two
Israel	19:45	5 SPORT Israel
Italy	18:45	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 255
Kosovo	18:45	ART Motion Sport 1
Malaysia	01:45	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Sooka
Mexico	11:45	HBO Max, MAX, TNT Go, TNT Sports
Montenegro	18:45	Arena Premium 1
Myanmar	00:15	Canal+ Myanmar
Netherlands	18:45	Ziggo Sport 2, Ziggo Sport
New Zealand	06:45	DAZN New Zealand
Nigeria	18:45	SuperSport Football Plus, Supersport Maximo 1
North Central America	—	ESPN Norte
North Macedonia	18:45	Arena Premium 1, TDM Desporto
Norway	18:45	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport 1
Pakistan	22:45	Tapmad
Papua New Guinea	03:45	TVWan Sports
Peru	12:45	Disney+, ESPN
Philippines	01:45	beIN Connect
Poland	18:45	Canal+ Extra 2, Canal+ Sport Online
Portugal	17:45	Sport TV5
Romania	19:45	Digi Online, Digi Sport 1, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 1
Russia	20:45	Okko Sport
Serbia	18:45	Arena Premium 1
Singapore	01:45	beIN Sports 3, StarHub TV+
Slovakia	18:45	Voyo
Slovenia	18:45	SportKlub 2
South Africa	19:45	Supersport Maximo 1, SuperSport Premier League
South America	—	ESPN South, ViX Latin America
South Korea	02:45	SPOTV Prime 2
Spain	18:45	LaLiga TV Bar, M+ Liga de Campeones
Sweden	18:45	Viaplay
Switzerland	18:45	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, Canal+ Sport, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Turkey	20:45	Tabii
Ukraine	19:45	MEGOGO Futbol 2
United Kingdom	17:45	beIN Sports MENA English 1, beIN Sports MENA English 2, Discovery+ UK, TNT Sports 1, Virgin TV Go app
Uruguay	14:45	Disney+
Usa	13:45	Paramount+, TUDN, UniMas, Univision
Uzbekistan	22:45	Zor TV
Venezuela	13:45	Disney+, ESPN, Inter
Vietnam	00:45	ON Plus, TV 360
International	17:45	Disney+


	Barcelona		Benfica

	1	X	2
	1.4	5.25	6.5	Watch
	1.33	5.75	8
	1.41	5.45	6.9	Watch
	1.41	5.6	6.95
	1.42	5.46	6.66	Watch
	1.4	5	6.5
	1.42	5.58	7.17
	1.4	5.45	7.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 ↑ (1.38)	5.44 ↓ (5.58)	6.97 ↓ (7.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

Watch this match and UEFA Champions League with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: Telemundo (KUTU-Tulsa, OK)

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Current Win Probability

Barcelona
68.6%

Draw
17.6%

Benfica
13.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

69.3%

17.2%

13.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.8%

16.4%

12.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Barcelona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Benfica has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barcelona than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Benfica than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
82.8%	9.4%	7.8%

Barcelona - Benfica Predictions

Users Predictions: Barcelona will win (52 of 63 users predict this - 82.54%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.17% – 91.91%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Szczesny W. (G) 23. Kounde J. 4. Araujo R. (C) 5. Martinez I. 3. Balde A. 21. de Jong F. 8. Pedri 20. Olmo D. 19. Yamal L. 9. Lewandowski R. 11. Raphinha	1. Trubin A. (G) 44. Araujo T. 4. Silva A. 30. Otamendi N. (C) 26. Dahl S. 8. Aursnes F. 61. Florentino 10. Kokcu O. 17. Akturkoglu K. 14. Pavlidis V. 21. Schjelderup A.
Substitutes
17. Casado M. 10. Fati A. 32. Fort H. 24. Garcia E. 6. Gavi 31. Kochen D. (G) 16. Lopez F. 35. Martin G. 13. Pena I. (G) 14. Torre P. 7. Torres F. 18. Victor P.	7. Amdouni Z. 81. Bajrami A. 18. Barreiro L. 19. Belotti A. 9. Cabral A. 60. Felix N. 64. Oliveira G. 25. Prestianni G. 84. Rego J. 85. Sanches R. 71. Santos L. 24. Soares S. (G)
Coaches
Flick H.	Lage B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 1)
11', 1 - 0, Raphinha ⚽, Yamal L. (A),
13', 1 - 1, Otamendi N. ⚽, Schjelderup A. (A),
27', 2 - 1, Yamal L. ⚽, Raphinha (A),
42', 3 - 1, Raphinha ⚽, Balde A. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
48', Silva A. 🟨,
56', Akturkoglu K. ↓, Sanches R. ↑,
56', Schjelderup A. ↓, Amdouni Z. ↑,
70', Lewandowski R. ↓, Torres F. ↑,
70', Olmo D. ↓, Gavi ↑,
70', Florentino ↓, Barreiro L. ↑,
70', Kokcu O. ↓, Belotti A. ↑,
81', Yamal L. ↓, Lopez F. ↑,
81', de Jong F. ↓, Casado M. ↑,
84', Araujo T. ↓, Rego J. ↑,
87', Martinez I. ↓, Garcia E. ↑,

Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 1-0.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Barcelona won 2.

Barcelona in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Benfica is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Barcelona could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Benfica have a series of home games.

In this match Barcelona is certain favorite.

There will not play in Barcelona: Bernal M. (Knee Injury) Christensen A. (Calf Injury) Cubarsi P. (Red Card) ter Stegen M. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Benfica: Bah A. (Knee Injury) Bruma (Inactive) Carreras A. (Yellow Cards) Di Maria A. (Muscle Injury) Gouveia T. (Knee Injury) Manu (Knee Injury)

Our prediction for today's Barcelona to win the game is with odds 1.4.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Barcelona won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8:7 (average 1.3:1.2).

Including matches at home between the teams Barcelona won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0:0 (average 0:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Barcelona
UEFA Champions League
05.03.25	Benfica - Barcelona	0:1 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
02.03.25	Barcelona - Real Sociedad	4:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
25.02.25	Barcelona - Atlético Madrid	4:4 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
22.02.25	Las Palmas - Barcelona	0:2 ✺
17.02.25	Barcelona - Rayo Vallecano	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WWTWW
- SL Benfica
Liga Portugal
08.03.25	Benfica - Nacional	3:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
05.03.25	Benfica - Barcelona	0:1 ✺
Taça de Portugal
26.02.25	Benfica - Braga	1:0 ✺
Liga Portugal
22.02.25	Benfica - Boavista	3:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
18.02.25	Benfica - Monaco	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 WLWWT

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Champions League
05.03.25	Benfica - Barcelona	0:1
21.01.25	Benfica - Barcelona	4:5
23.11.21	Barcelona - Benfica	0:0
29.09.21	Benfica - Barcelona	3:0
05.12.12	Barcelona - Benfica	0:0
02.10.12	Benfica - Barcelona	0:2

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