Match Info

Liga Portugal - Round 29

Date: 12 April 2026, Sunday

Location: Estádio da Luz (Lisbon)

Referee: Verissimo F. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	ZAP
Albania	Tring Sport 4
Austria	DAZN
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 5
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, Sky+, Vivo Play, Xsports
Bulgaria	Ring, Voyo
China	ZhiBo8
Croatia	SportKlub 4
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 7, Cytavision Sports 7
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 6, Free
Germany	DAZN Deutsch, Sportdigital FUSSBALL
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 2
Hungary	Selekt, Sport 2
Kosovo	Arena Premium 1
Norway	VG+
Portugal	Benfica TV, BTV Online
Russia	TV Start
Serbia	Arena Premium 1
Slovakia	Arena sport 1
Slovenia	SportKlub 4
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Turkey	S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 4
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 3, MEGOGO Ukraine
Uruguay	Antel TV
Usa	Fubo Latino
World	Onefootball


	Benfica		Nacional

	1	X	2
	1.13	7.5	13	Watch
	1.15	7.4	14.5	Watch
	1.15	9.02	16.44
	1.16	8.63	15.21	Watch
	1.15	8	13	Watch
	1.15	9.6	16.5	Watch
	1.14	8	18
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.15 ↑ (1.14)	8.31 ↑ (8)	15.24 ↓ (18)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Benfica
82.4%

Draw
11.4%

Nacional
6.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

82.9%

11.8%

5.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Benfica has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Nacional has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
88.9%	11.1%	0%

Benfica - Nacional Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Benfica will win (votes: 8 - 88.9%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Benfica: 68.4% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Trubin A. (G) 17. Dedic A. 4. Silva A. 30. Otamendi N. (C) 26. Dahl S. 20. Rios R. 18. Barreiro L. 25. Prestianni G. 27. Rafa Silva 21. Schjelderup A. 14. Pavlidis V.	1. Kaique Pereira (G) 16. Nunez A. 34. Leo Santos 38. Ze Vitor 5. Jose Gomes 15. Labidi C. 6. Matheus Dias 28. Liziero 10. Daniel Junior 9. Ramirez J. (C) 7. Witi
Substitutes
72. Anisio 8. Aursnes F. 6. Bah A. 5. Barrenechea E. 9. Ivanovic F. 11. Lukebakio D. 77. Moreira G. 24. Soares S. (G) 10. Sudakov G.	2. Aurelio L. 33. Goncalves C. 19. Joao L. 50. Medeiros de Freitas K. V. (G) 99. Pablo Ruan 26. Silva J. 22. Soares F. 24. Vallier L. 30. Watts
Coaches
Mourinho J.	Margarido T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
3', 1 - 0, Schjelderup A. ⚽, Prestianni G. (A),
14', 2 - 0, Rafa Silva ⚽, Prestianni G. (A),
22', Dahl S. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
50', Witi 🟨,
56', Leo Santos 🟨,
58', Pavlidis V. (Penalty Awarded),
58', Matheus Dias 🟨,
61', Matheus Dias ↓, Soares F. ↑,
61', Witi ↓, Pablo Ruan ↑,
77', Pavlidis V. ↓, Ivanovic F. ↑,
78', Prestianni G. ↓, Lukebakio D. ↑,
78', Rafa Silva ↓, Aursnes F. ↑,
79', Rios R. ↓, Barrenechea E. ↑,
83', Jose Gomes ↓, Vallier L. ↑,
83', Labidi C. ↓, Silva J. ↑,
90', Silva J. 🟨,
90+1', Daniel Junior ↓, Aurelio L. ↑,
90+2', Schjelderup A. ↓, Moreira G. ↑,
90+4', Vallier L. 🟨,

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: ) and 15).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Benfica won 4.

Benfica is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Nacional has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Benfica may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Benfica is the obvious favorite.

There will not play in Benfica: Aursnes F. (Rest) Bruma (Achilles Tendon Injury) Felix N. (Knee Injury) Veloso J. (Shoulder Injury)

There will not play in Nacional: Fernandes I. (Injury) Paulinho Boia (Yellow Cards) Ulisses (Broken calfbone)

There are questionable in Benfica: Barreiro L. (Inactive) Rego J. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Nacional: Aurelio J. (Ankle Injury) Baeza M. (Injury) Jose Gomes (Injury) Lucas Franca (Thigh Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Benfica won 18 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 57:12. (average 2.9:0.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Benfica won 9 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 30:3. (average 3:0.3).

Outrights of Liga Portugal for now

Benfica: 26.78% Nacional: 0.24%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Benfica	7	5	1	1	22:7	15	16
15	Nacional	7	1	1	5	7:15	-8	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SL Benfica
Liga Portugal
06.04.26	Casa Pia - Benfica	1:1 ✺
21.03.26	Benfica - Vitoria Guimarães	3:0 ✺
14.03.26	Arouca - Benfica	1:2 ✺
08.03.26	Benfica - Porto	2:2 ✺
02.03.26	Gil Vicente - Benfica	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 TWWTW
- Atletico Nacional
Liga Portugal
04.04.26	Nacional - Estrela da Amadora	2:0 ✺
21.03.26	Famalicão - Nacional	1:0 ✺
15.03.26	Nacional - Estoril Praia	0:1 ✺
07.03.26	Moreirense - Nacional	1:1 ✺
28.02.26	Nacional - Braga	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 WLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Liga Portugal
29.11.25	Nacional - Benfica	1:2
08.03.25	Benfica - Nacional	3:0
19.12.24	Nacional - Benfica	0:2
11.05.21	Nacional - Benfica	1:3
25.01.21	Benfica - Nacional	1:1
10.02.19	Benfica - Nacional	10:0
02.09.18	Nacional - Benfica	0:4

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