Match Info

SPAIN: Copa del Rey - 1/16-finals

Date: 5 January 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio El Toralín (Ponferrada)

Referee: Manzano J. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	StarTimes App
Argentina	DirecTV Sports
Austria	DAZN
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Chile	DirecTV Sports
Finland	Veikkaus TV
France	L'Equipe Live Foot
Germany	DAZN 1 Deutsch, Sportdigital FUSSBALL
Hungary	Sport 1
India	FanCode, FanCode, Vision+
Mexico	Sky Sport
Mozambique	Startimes Mania
North-central-america	DirecTV Sports Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
Peru	DirecTV Sports
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 2, Match TV, Okko Sport, Sportbox.ru
Saudi-arabia	Shahid VIP
South-america	DGO Latin America
Spain	M+ Copa Del Rey, Movistar Plus+ 1
Switzerland	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Turkey	Tivibu Spor 1
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 2
Uruguay	DirecTV Sports
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	DirecTV Sports, Inter
World	DirecTV Sports, Disney+


	Ponferradina		Real Sociedad

	1	X	2
	9.5	5	1.33	Watch
	10.5	5	1.32
	12	5	1.32	Watch
	6.76	4.12	1.45	Watch
	9	4.4	1.36	Watch
	11	5.1	1.32	Watch
	12	5	1.32
Avarage Now (Initially)	10.11 ↑ (8.6)	4.8 ↑ (4.63)	1.35 ↓ (1.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ponferradina
9.4%

Draw
19.8%

Real Sociedad
70.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

11%

20.4%

68.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

10.4%

21.6%

72.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ponferradina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Real Sociedad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ponferradina than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Sociedad than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
9.1%	9.1%	81.8%

Ponferradina - Real Sociedad Predictions

Users Predictions: Real Sociedad will win (9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.03% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Jimenez A. (G) 23. Jorrin M. 3. Novoa G. 5. Lancho J. 19. Lopez A. 24. Doue M. 16. Lozano M. 7. Gomez E. 10. Valle B. 11. Mula A. 21. Cortes J.	13. Marrero U. (G) 27. Aramburu J. 5. Zubeldia I. 20. Pacheco J. 12. Lopez J. 16. Olasagasti J. A. 22. Turrientes B. 23. Mendez B. 17. Gomez S. 10. Oyarzabal M. 9. Oskarsson O.
Substitutes
8. Abelenda B. 2. Andujar D. 25. Barredo P. (G) 15. Bustos A. 9. Cabanzon Y. 17. Carrique T. 6. Fernandez B. 12. Jurgens O. 1. Prieto A. (G) 18. Ramon A. 4. Sibille K.	7. Barrenetxea A. 6. Elustondo A. 32. Fraga A. (G) 14. Kubo T. 28. Marin P. 31. Martin J. 3. Munoz A. 2. Odriozola A. 1. Remiro A. (G) 24. Sucic L. 8. Zakharyan A.
Coaches
Rey J.	Alguacil I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
45', Lancho J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Olasagasti J. A. ↓, Sucic L. ↑,
46', Oskarsson O. ↓, Kubo T. ↑,
55', 0 - 1, Oyarzabal M. ⚽,
63', Gomez E. ↓, Cabanzon Y. ↑,
63', Valle B. ↓, Bustos A. ↑,
63', Mula A. ↓, Abelenda B. ↑,
69', 0 - 2, Mendez B. ⚽,
71', Gomez S. ↓, Barrenetxea A. ↑,
71', Lancho J. ↓, Fernandez B. ↑,
75', Jorrin M. ↓, Carrique T. ↑,
76', Mendez B. ↓, Marin P. ↑,
81', Lopez J. ↓, Munoz A. ↑,

Preview

Right away both teams are in a satisfying form.

In this match Real Sociedad is certain favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SD Ponferradina
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
20.12.24	Ponferradina - Tarazona	2:0 ✺
14.12.24	Lugo - Ponferradina	0:1 ✺
08.12.24	Ponferradina - Gimnástic de Tarragona	2:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
05.12.24	Ponferradina - Castellón	2:1 penalties ✺
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
30.11.24	Ourense CF - Ponferradina	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.3 WWWWL
- Real Sociedad
Spanish LaLiga
21.12.24	Celta de Vigo - Real Sociedad	2:0 ✺
15.12.24	Real Sociedad - Las Palmas	0:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
12.12.24	Real Sociedad - Dynamo Kyiv	3:0 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
08.12.24	Leganés - Real Sociedad	0:3 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
05.12.24	Conquense - Real Sociedad	0:1 ET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LTWWW

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