Match Info

ITALY: Serie B - Round 17

Date: 15 December 2024, Sunday

Location: Stadio Mario Rigamonti (Brescia)

Referee: Monaldi M. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	DAZN Italia


	Brescia		Carrarese

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.1	3.5	Watch
	2.25	3	3.4
	2.25	3	3.4	Watch
	2.29	3	3.84
	2.22	3.04	3.69	Watch
	2.15	3.3	3.25
	2.15	3.34	3.48	Watch
	2.25	3	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.22 ↑ (2.12)	3.1 ↓ (3.41)	3.5 ↑ (3.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Brescia
42.5%

Draw
30.5%

Carrarese
27%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.6%

27.7%

27.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.1%

28.6%

26.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brescia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Carrarese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brescia than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carrarese than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
88.2%	5.9%	5.9%

Brescia - Carrarese Predictions

Users Predictions: Brescia will win (15 of 17 users predict this - 88.24%).
Confidence interval (95%): 72.93% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Lezzerini L. (G) 32. Papetti A. 28. Adorni D. 15. Cistana A. 24. Dickmann L. 25. Bisoli D. 6. Verreth M. 19. Corrado N. 23. Galazzi N. 29. Borrelli G. 11. Moncini G.	1. Bleve M. (G) 4. Illanes J. 34. Guarino G. 3. Imperiale M. (C) 72. Zanon S. 17. Zuelli E. 18. Schiavi N. 20. Giovane S. 77. Belloni N. 19. Shpendi S. 90. Cerri L.
Substitutes
22. Andrenacci L. (G) 26. Bertagnoli M. 39. Besaggio M. 9. Bianchi F. 8. Bjarnason B. 5. Calvani G. 7. Juric A. 33. Muca Z. 20. Nuamah P. 27. Olzer G. 4. Paghera F.	13. Bouah D. 28. Capello A. 82. Capezzi L. 9. Cherubini L. 24. Chiorra N. (G) 25. Falco F. 99. Ferrara K. (G) 32. Finotto M. 29. Maressa T. 6. Oliana F. 8. Palmieri R. 10. Panico G.
Coaches
Bisoli P.	Calabro A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
13', Giovane S. 🟨,
17', Bisoli D. 🟨,
29', Illanes J. 🟨,
35', Adorni D. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
65', Imperiale M. 🟨,
66', Guarino G. ↓, Oliana F. ↑,
67', Zanon S. ↓, Bouah D. ↑,
69', Moncini G. ↓, Juric A. ↑,
69', Galazzi N. ↓, Bjarnason B. ↑,
83', Giovane S. ↓, Cherubini L. ↑,
85', Verreth M. ↓, Besaggio M. ↑,
85', Papetti A. ↓, Calvani G. ↑,
87', Cerri L. ↓, Finotto M. ↑,
87', Shpendi S. ↓, Panico G. ↑,
88', Borrelli G. ↓, Bianchi F. ↑,
90+2', Bjarnason B. 🟨,

Preview

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 11 and 13).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Brescia could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Brescia will have a mini benefit in this match.

There are questionable in Carrarese: Coppolaro M. (Muscle Injury) Hermannsson H. (Lacking Match Fitness)

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Brescia Calcio
Italian Serie B
08.12.24	Catanzaro - Brescia	2:1 ✺
30.11.24	Brescia - Bari	1:1 ✺
23.11.24	Juve Stabia - Brescia	0:0 ✺
09.11.24	Brescia - Nuova Cosenza	2:3 ✺
03.11.24	Sampdoria - Brescia	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 LTTLW
- Carrarese Calcio
Italian Serie B
07.12.24	Carrarese - Palermo	1:0 ✺
01.12.24	Salernitana - Carrarese	4:1 ✺
23.11.24	Carrarese - Pisa	1:0 ✺
09.11.24	Modena - Carrarese	2:0 ✺
02.11.24	Carrarese - Juve Stabia	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 WLWLT

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