The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Brescia 30.3%
Draw 32.7%
Modena 37%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
37.7%
31.1%
31.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
40.3%
33.2%
29.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Brescia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Brescia's form might have worsened.
Modena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Modena's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brescia than the current prediction. (+10%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Brescia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Modena than the current prediction. (-7.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Modena, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
9.1%
63.6%
27.3%
Brescia - Modena Predictions
Users Predictions:
22 users predict this event. Brescia will win (votes: 2 - 9.1%). Modena will win (votes: 6 - 27.3%). It will Tie (votes: 14 - 63.6%). Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 43.5% โ 83.7%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Lezzerini L. (G) 32. Papetti A. 28. Adorni D. 15. Cistana A. 24. Dickmann L. 25. Bisoli D. (C) 6. Verreth M. 23. Galazzi N. 19. Corrado N. 7. Juric A. 11. Moncini G.
1. Sassi J. (G) 25. Dellavalle A. 19. Zaro G. 33. Cauz C. 18. Di Pardo A. 16. Gerli F. (C) 8. Santoro S. 29. Cotali M. 10. Palumbo A. 20. Caso G. 11. Mendes P.
Substitutes
22. Andrenacci L. (G) 26. Bertagnoli M. 39. Besaggio M. 9. Bianchi F. 8. Bjarnason B. 29. Borrelli G. 5. Calvani G. 33. Muca Z. 20. Nuamah P. 27. Olzer G. 4. Paghera F.
90. Abiuso F. 78. Bagheria F. (G) 5. Battistella T. 2. Beyuku G. 21. Bozhanaj K. 23. Caldara M. 7. Duca E. 26. Gagno R. (G) 9. Gliozzi E. 27. Idrissi R. 6. Magnino L. 24. Oliva M.
Coaches
Bisoli P.
Mandelli P.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 2)
9', Caso G. ↓, Duca E. ↑,
16', 0 - 1, Gerli F. ⚽,
34', 1 - 1, Verreth M. ⚽,
41', Dickmann L. 🟨,
45', 1 - 2, Santoro S. ⚽, Gerli F. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Moncini G. ↓, Borrelli G. ↑,
46', Papetti A. ↓, Olzer G. ↑,
50', 2 - 2, Cistana A. ⚽,
60', Olzer G. 🟨,
61', Corrado N. ↓, Jallow A. ↑,
72', Duca E. 🟨,
72', Juric A. ↓, Bianchi F. ↑,
72', 🟨,
72', Di Pardo A. ↓, Magnino L. ↑,
73', Santoro S. ↓, Battistella T. ↑,
73', Duca E. ↓, Bozhanaj K. ↑,
80', Galazzi N. ↓, Bjarnason B. ↑,
81', Cauz C. 🟨,
83', 3 - 2, Magnino L. (Own goal),
86', Cotali M. ↓, Abiuso F. ↑,
88', 3 - 3, Bozhanaj K. ⚽, Abiuso F. (A),
90', Palumbo A. 🟨,
Preview
Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 13 and 9).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Brescia won 2.
Recent matches Brescia is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Modena is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
There will not play in Brescia: Juric A.
(Injury)
There will not play in Modena: Pergreffi A.
(Knee Injury)
Last 13 head-to-head matches Brescia won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 13:12 (average 1:0.9).
Including matches at home between the teams Brescia won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 4:7 (average 0.6:1).
Last Results with these Odds
Modena - the odds 3 are the expected chance of winning is 31.23%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.