Match Info

ITALY: Serie B - Round 29

Date: 9 March 2025, Sunday

Location: Mapei Stadium – Città del Tricolore (Reggio Emilia)

Referee: Dionisi F. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	DAZN Italia
Russia	Telekanal Futbol
Switzerland	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 8, Blue Sport 8
Usa	Fox Soccer Plus


	Sassuolo		Bari

	1	X	2
	1.53	3.9	6.5	Watch
	1.62	3.8	5.25
	1.54	3.95	6	Watch
	1.55	4.05	7.15
	1.55	3.94	6.69	Watch
	1.7	3.6	4.8
	1.55	4.1	6.15	Watch
	1.54	3.95	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.57 ↑ (1.43)	3.91 ↓ (4.41)	6.07 ↓ (6.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

Watch this match and Italian Serie B with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: FOX Soccer Plus

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Current Win Probability

Sassuolo
60.2%

Draw
24.2%

Bari
15.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.8%

21.1%

14.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.7%

20.2%

13.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sassuolo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

Bari has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sassuolo than the current prediction. (+7.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sassuolo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bari than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	33.3%	0%

Sassuolo - Bari Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Sassuolo will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sassuolo: 35.9% – 97.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Moldovan H. (G) 23. Toljan J. 19. Romagna F. (C) 20. Lovato M. 3. Doig J. 36. Mazzitelli L. 11. Boloca D. 8. Ghion A. 10. Berardi D. 45. Lauriente A. 24. Moro L.	1. Radunovic B. (G) 3. Mantovani V. 44. Simic L. 55. Obaretin N. 27. Favasuli C. 4. Maita M. (C) 8. Benali A. 21. Maggiore G. 93. Dorval M. 15. Lasagna K. 11. Bonfanti N.
Substitutes
33. Bonifazi K. 40. Iannoni E. 35. Lipani L. 80. Muharemovic T. 9. Mulattieri S. 14. Obiang P. 17. Paz Y. 15. Pieragnolo E. 77. Pierini N. 12. Satalino G. (G) 99. Verdi S. 7. Volpato C.	10. Bellomo N. 19. Falletti C. 17. Maiello R. 45. Marfella D. (G) 9. Novakovich A. 7. Oliveri A. 20. Pereiro G. 22. Pissardo M. (G) 94. Saco C. 13. Tripaldelli A. 23. Vicari F.
Coaches
Grosso F.	Longo M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
37', 0 - 1, Lasagna K. ⚽,
45', Benali A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Ghion A. ↓, Verdi S. ↑,
46', Berardi D. ↓, Volpato C. ↑,
56', Lauriente A. 🟨,
60', Moro L. ↓, Mulattieri S. ↑,
60', Lauriente A. ↓, Pierini N. ↑,
72', Bonfanti N. ↓, Novakovich A. ↑,
72', Dorval M. ↓, Tripaldelli A. ↑,
75', Maggiore G. ↓, Saco C. ↑,
76', Saco C. 🟨,
82', Maita M. 🟨,
82', 1 - 1, Volpato C. ⚽,
86', Volpato C. 🟨,
87', Tripaldelli A. 🟨,
88', Lasagna K. ↓, Falletti C. ↑,
88', Verdi S. ↓, Obiang P. ↑,
88', Favasuli C. ↓, Oliveri A. ↑,

Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A and 9).

Sassuolo in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Bari is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Sassuolo could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Sassuolo is a favorite.

There will not play in Sassuolo: Skjellerup L. (Injury) Thorstvedt K. (Injury)

There will not play in Bari: Vicari F. (Injury)

Our prediction for today's Sassuolo to win the game is with odds 1.62.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Sassuolo won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 10:7 (average 2:1.4).

Including matches at home between the teams Sassuolo won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:2 (average 2:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Sassuolo
Italian Serie B
01.03.25	Sassuolo - Pisa	1:0 ✺
21.02.25	Sampdoria - Sassuolo	0:0 ✺
15.02.25	Sassuolo - Brescia	2:0 ✺
08.02.25	Mantova - Sassuolo	0:3 ✺
01.02.25	Sassuolo - Juve Stabia	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WTWWW
- AS Bari
Italian Serie B
02.03.25	Bari - Sampdoria	1:1 ✺
22.02.25	Mantova - Bari	0:1 ✺
15.02.25	Bari - Cremonese	1:1 ✺
09.02.25	Juve Stabia - Bari	3:1 ✺
02.02.25	Bari - Frosinone	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 TWTLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
27.08.24	Bari - Sassuolo	1:1
Coppa Italia
29.11.17	Sassuolo - Bari	2:1
Italian Serie B
20.04.13	Sassuolo - Bari	2:1
01.12.12	Bari - Sassuolo	3:3
12.02.12	Bari - Sassuolo	1:2

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