Match Info

Serie A - Round 5

Date: 18 September 2026, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: U-Power Stadium (Brianteo) (Monza) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Perenzoni D. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	Azam Sports 3, DStv Now
Albania	20:45	Tring Sport 1
Argentina	15:45	Disney+, ESPN 3
Asia	—	STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
Australia	04:45	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Austria	20:45	DAZN
Bangladesh	00:45	Begin
Bolivia	14:45	ESPN 3
Bosnia And Herzegovina	20:45	Arena Sport 2
Brazil	15:45	Disney+
Bulgaria	21:45	Max Sport 3
Cambodia	01:45	MyTV
Canada	14:45	DAZN Canada, fubo Sports Network 2 DRM, fubo Sports Network 3 DRM, fubo Sports Network 4 DRM, fubo Sports Network 6 DRM, fubo Sports Network 9 DRM, fubo Sports Network
Chile	15:45	ESPN 3
Colombia	13:45	ESPN 3
Croatia	20:45	Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	21:45	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
Czech Republic	20:45	Oneplay, Sport 1
Denmark	20:45	DAZN, TV2 Play, TV2 Sport X
Ecuador	13:45	ESPN 3
Finland	21:45	DAZN, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1
France	20:45	DAZN France
Georgia	22:45	Silk Sport 1
Germany	20:45	DAZN Deutsch
Hong Kong	02:45	beIN Sports 1, M Plus Live, Now Player
India	00:15	ZEE5
Indonesia	01:45	Vidio
Iraq	21:45	Almanasa
Israel	21:45	ONE Sport
Italy	20:45	DAZN Italia, NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 251, Sky Sport 4K, Sky Sport Calcio
Japan	03:45	DAZN Japan
Kosovo	20:45	ART Sport 1
Kuwait	21:45	Shasha
Macao	02:45	Macau Cable TV 34 Football
Malaysia	02:45	Astro Football, Astro Go, Sooka
Maldives	23:45	ICE Plus, Medianet
Malta	20:45	GO TV, TSN Malta 3
Mexico	12:45	Disney+
New Zealand	06:45	beIN Connect
North Central America	—	Disney+ Caribbean
North Macedonia	20:45	MaxTV GO
Norway	20:45	VG+
Paraguay	14:45	ESPN 3
Peru	13:45	Disney+, ESPN 3
Poland	20:45	Eleven Sports 2, Eleven Sports 3
Romania	21:45	Digi Online, Digi Sport 3, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 3
Russia	21:45	MATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Saudi Arabia	21:45	STC TV, Thmanyah
Serbia	20:45	Arena Sport 2
Slovakia	20:45	Sport 1, Voyo
Slovenia	20:45	Arena Sport 2
South Africa	20:45	SuperSport Football
South Korea	03:45	SPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime
Suriname	15:45	SCCN
Sweden	20:45	DAZN, TV4 Fotboll, TV4 Play
Switzerland	20:45	DAZN Switzerland
Thailand	01:45	True Premier Football 3
Tunisia	19:45	Diwan Sport
Turkey	21:45	S Sport 2
Ukraine	21:45	MEGOGO Futbol 3, MEGOGO Ukraine
United Kingdom	19:45	DAZN
Uruguay	15:45	Disney+
Usa	14:45	CBS Sports Network, NBC Universo, NBC, Paramount+, Peacock, Telemundo, UNIVERSO NOW
Venezuela	14:45	Disney+, ESPN 3, Inter


	Monza		Sassuolo

	1	X	2
	2.80	3.30	2.50
	2.80	3.30	2.50
	2.88	3.20	2.43	Watch
	2.98	3.35	2.59
	2.79	3.38	2.55	Watch
	2.95	3.30	2.50
	2.85	3.36	2.54
	2.85	3.40	2.60
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.86 ↑ (2.78)	3.32 ↓ (3.36)	2.53 (2.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Monza
33.4%

Draw
28.8%

Sassuolo
37.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

34.2%

28.3%

37.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.2%

28.3%

37.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Monza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Sassuolo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Monza than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sassuolo than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	25.7%	60%

Monza - Sassuolo Predictions

Users Predictions: 35 users predict this event. Monza will win (votes: 5 - 14.3%). Sassuolo will win (votes: 21 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 25.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sassuolo: 43.8% – 76.2%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Monza (votes: 1 - 20%). Sassuolo (votes: 1 - 20%). Tie (votes: 3 - 60%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (1.57) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH +0.5 - Monza (1.53) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5 - over (1.22) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

New Consensus by Tipsters:

O/U 2.5 - over (1.80) (votes: 100%) ⭐ Best Value.

BTTS - yes (1.62) (votes: 100%) ⭐ Best Value.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Monza (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Sassuolo (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Tie (votes: 3 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Tornqvist N. (G) 60. Kouadio E. 3. Lucchesi L. 44. Carboni A. 19. Birindelli S. (C) 90. Folorunsho M. 14. Akinsanmiro E. 7. Mangas R. 10. Cutrone P. 46. Robinson J. 9. Varela G.	49. Muric A. (G) 46. Cinquegrano S. 15. Caleta-Car D. 16. Leysen F. 3. Doig J. 42. Thorstvedt K. 18. Matic N. 50. Bakola D. 10. Berardi D. (C) 94. Esposito Se. 45. Lauriente A.
Substitutes
6. Antov V. 24. Bakoune A. 21. Colombo L. 28. Colpani A. 11. Forson O. 2. Goglichidze S. 5. Maye Y. 47. Mota D. 80. Mout M. 16. Ngonge C. 8. Ondoa F. 43. Strajnar A. (G) 20. Thiam D. (G) 22. Zeballos E.	17. Adzic V. 9. Bowie K. 25. Dominguez B. 8. Ghion A. 35. Lipani L. 33. Obrador R. 26. Odenthal C. 77. Pierini N. 12. Satalino G. (G) 19. Skjellerup L. 55. Sulemana I. 80. Turati S. (G) 20. Van der Brempt I.
Coaches
Juric I.	Aquilani A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
30', Kouadio E. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
51', 1 - 0, Varela G. ⚽, Birindelli S. (A),
56', Cutrone P. ↓, Mota D. ↑,
56', Mangas R. ↓, Bakoune A. ↑,
56', Akinsanmiro E. ↓, Ondoa F. ↑,
63', 2 - 0, Varela G. (Penalty Awarded),
64', Thorstvedt K. ↓, Bowie K. ↑,
64', Matic N. ↓, Lipani L. ↑,
72', Berardi D. ↓, Dominguez B. ↑,
72', Esposito Se. ↓, Adzic V. ↑,
74', Folorunsho M. 🟨,
82', Robinson J. ↓, Mout M. ↑,
82', Bakola D. ↓, Skjellerup L. ↑,
85', Lipani L. 🟨,
85', Birindelli S. 🟨,
88', 2 - 1, Adzic V. ⚽,
90+2', Varela G. 🟨,
90+3', Birindelli S. ↓, Maye Y. ↑,

Preview

Monza is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Sassuolo shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Recently, Monza has faced a series of away games on the road.

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

Confirmed absences for Monza: Pessina M. (Knee Injury) Toure I. (Contusion) Ziolkowski J. (Foot Injury).

Confirmed absences for Sassuolo: Boloca D. (Muscle Injury) Cande F. (Knee Injury) Idzes J. (Muscle Injury) Kone I. (Broken Leg) Paz Y. (Knee Injury) Pieragnolo E. (Knee Injury) Volpato C. (Thigh Injury).

Doubtful / questionable for Monza: Ciurria P. (Inactive) Ngonge C. (Lacking Match Fitness).

Doubtful / questionable for Sassuolo: Walukiewicz S. (Muscle Injury).

In the last 5 head-to-head meetings, Monza has recorded 3 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 7:4 (averaging 1.4:0.8 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Monza against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 2 draws, and 0 losses, with 4:3 goals (averaging 1.3:1 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
15	Sassuolo	9	2	2	5	14:22	-8	8
16	Monza	9	2	1	6	16:22	-6	7

Outrights of Italian Serie A for now

Sassuolo: 0.05% Monza: 0.04%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Monza 1912
Italian Serie A
13.09.26	Lecce - Monza	3:2 ✺
06.09.26	Parma - Monza	1:1 ✺
Coppa Italia
01.09.26	Torino - Monza	0:1 ✺
Italian Serie A
29.08.26	Monza - Udinese	2:3 ✺
22.08.26	Inter Milan - Monza	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 LTWLL
- US Sassuolo
Italian Serie A
13.09.26	Sassuolo - Juventus	3:2 ✺
06.09.26	Bologna - Sassuolo	2:2 ✺
Coppa Italia
02.09.26	Sassuolo - Frosinone	2:1 penalties ✺
Italian Serie A
29.08.26	Sassuolo - Torino	2:1 ✺
23.08.26	Atalanta - Sassuolo	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.5 WTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
03.08.24	Monza - Sassuolo	2:2
Italian Serie A
28.01.24	Monza - Sassuolo	1:0
02.10.23	Sassuolo - Monza	0:1
19.05.23	Sassuolo - Monza	1:2
22.01.23	Monza - Sassuolo	1:1

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