Match Info

Serie A - Round 5

Date: 18 September 2026, Friday

Location: U-Power Stadium (Brianteo) (Monza)

Referee: Perenzoni D. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 3, DStv Now
Albania	Tring Sport 1
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN 3
Asia	STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Austria	DAZN
Bangladesh	Begin
Bolivia	ESPN 3
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 2
Brazil	Disney+
Bulgaria	Max Sport 3
Cambodia	MyTV
Canada	DAZN Canada, fubo Sports Network 2 DRM, fubo Sports Network 3 DRM, fubo Sports Network 4 DRM, fubo Sports Network 6 DRM, fubo Sports Network 9 DRM, fubo Sports Network
Chile	ESPN 3
Colombia	ESPN 3
Croatia	Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
Czech-republic	Oneplay, Sport 1
Denmark	DAZN, TV2 Play, TV2 Sport X
Ecuador	ESPN 3
Finland	DAZN, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1
France	DAZN France
Georgia	Silk Sport 1
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 1, M Plus Live, Now Player
India	ZEE5
Indonesia	Vidio
Iraq	Almanasa
Israel	ONE Sport
Italy	DAZN Italia, NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 251, Sky Sport 4K, Sky Sport Calcio
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kosovo	ART Sport 1
Kuwait	Shasha
Macao	Macau Cable TV 34 Football
Malaysia	Astro Football, Astro Go, Sooka
Maldives	ICE Plus, Medianet
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 3
Mexico	Disney+
New-zealand	beIN Connect
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	VG+
Paraguay	ESPN 3
Peru	Disney+, ESPN 3
Poland	Eleven Sports 2, Eleven Sports 3
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 3, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 3
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Saudi-arabia	STC TV, Thmanyah
Serbia	Arena Sport 2
Slovakia	Sport 1, Voyo
Slovenia	Arena Sport 2
South-africa	SuperSport Football
South-korea	SPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime
Suriname	SCCN
Sweden	DAZN, TV4 Fotboll, TV4 Play
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Thailand	True Premier Football 3
Tunisia	Diwan Sport
Turkey	S Sport 2
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 3, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	DAZN
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	CBS Sports Network, NBC Universo, NBC, Paramount+, Peacock, Telemundo, UNIVERSO NOW
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN 3, Inter


	Monza		Sassuolo

	1	X	2
	2.80	3.30	2.50
	2.80	3.30	2.50
	2.88	3.20	2.43	Watch
	2.98	3.35	2.59
	2.79	3.38	2.55	Watch
	2.95	3.30	2.50
	2.85	3.36	2.54
	2.85	3.40	2.60
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.86 ↑ (2.78)	3.32 ↓ (3.36)	2.53 (2.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Monza
33.4%

Draw
28.8%

Sassuolo
37.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.2%

28.3%

37.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.3%

28.4%

37.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Monza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Sassuolo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Monza than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sassuolo than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	25.7%	60%

Monza - Sassuolo Predictions

Users Predictions: 35 users predict this event. Monza will win (votes: 5 - 14.3%). Sassuolo will win (votes: 21 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 25.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sassuolo: 43.8% – 76.2%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Monza (votes: 1 - 20%). Sassuolo (votes: 1 - 20%). Tie (votes: 3 - 60%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (1.57) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH +0.5 - Monza (1.53) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5 - over (1.22) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

New Consensus by Tipsters:

O/U 2.5 - over (1.80) (votes: 100%) ⭐ Best Value.

BTTS - yes (1.62) (votes: 100%) ⭐ Best Value.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Monza (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Sassuolo (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Tie (votes: 3 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Tornqvist N. (G) 60. Kouadio E. 3. Lucchesi L. 44. Carboni A. 19. Birindelli S. (C) 90. Folorunsho M. 14. Akinsanmiro E. 7. Mangas R. 10. Cutrone P. 46. Robinson J. 9. Varela G.	49. Muric A. (G) 46. Cinquegrano S. 15. Caleta-Car D. 16. Leysen F. 3. Doig J. 42. Thorstvedt K. 18. Matic N. 50. Bakola D. 10. Berardi D. (C) 94. Esposito Se. 45. Lauriente A.
Substitutes
6. Antov V. 24. Bakoune A. 21. Colombo L. 28. Colpani A. 11. Forson O. 2. Goglichidze S. 5. Maye Y. 47. Mota D. 80. Mout M. 16. Ngonge C. 8. Ondoa F. 43. Strajnar A. (G) 20. Thiam D. (G) 22. Zeballos E.	17. Adzic V. 9. Bowie K. 25. Dominguez B. 8. Ghion A. 35. Lipani L. 33. Obrador R. 26. Odenthal C. 77. Pierini N. 12. Satalino G. (G) 19. Skjellerup L. 55. Sulemana I. 80. Turati S. (G) 20. Van der Brempt I.
Coaches
Juric I.	Aquilani A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
30', Kouadio E. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
51', 1 - 0, Varela G. ⚽, Birindelli S. (A),
56', Cutrone P. ↓, Mota D. ↑,
56', Mangas R. ↓, Bakoune A. ↑,
56', Akinsanmiro E. ↓, Ondoa F. ↑,
63', 2 - 0, Varela G. (Penalty Awarded),
64', Thorstvedt K. ↓, Bowie K. ↑,
64', Matic N. ↓, Lipani L. ↑,
72', Berardi D. ↓, Dominguez B. ↑,
72', Esposito Se. ↓, Adzic V. ↑,
74', Folorunsho M. 🟨,
82', Robinson J. ↓, Mout M. ↑,
82', Bakola D. ↓, Skjellerup L. ↑,
85', Lipani L. 🟨,
85', Birindelli S. 🟨,
88', 2 - 1, Adzic V. ⚽,
90+2', Varela G. 🟨,
90+3', Birindelli S. ↓, Maye Y. ↑,

Preview

Monza is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Sassuolo shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Recently, Monza has faced a series of away games on the road.

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

Confirmed absences for Monza: Pessina M. (Knee Injury) Toure I. (Contusion) Ziolkowski J. (Foot Injury).

Confirmed absences for Sassuolo: Boloca D. (Muscle Injury) Cande F. (Knee Injury) Idzes J. (Muscle Injury) Kone I. (Broken Leg) Paz Y. (Knee Injury) Pieragnolo E. (Knee Injury) Volpato C. (Thigh Injury).

Doubtful / questionable for Monza: Ciurria P. (Inactive) Ngonge C. (Lacking Match Fitness).

Doubtful / questionable for Sassuolo: Walukiewicz S. (Muscle Injury).

In the last 5 head-to-head meetings, Monza has recorded 3 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 7:4 (averaging 1.4:0.8 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Monza against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 2 draws, and 0 losses, with 4:3 goals (averaging 1.3:1 per game).

Outrights of Italian Serie A for now

Sassuolo: 0.25% Monza: 0.14%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Sassuolo	5	2	1	2	9:9	0	7
16	Monza	5	1	1	3	8:12	-4	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Monza 1912
Italian Serie A
13.09.26	Lecce - Monza	3:2 ✺
06.09.26	Parma - Monza	1:1 ✺
Coppa Italia
01.09.26	Torino - Monza	0:1 ✺
Italian Serie A
29.08.26	Monza - Udinese	2:3 ✺
22.08.26	Inter Milan - Monza	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 LTWLL
- US Sassuolo
Italian Serie A
13.09.26	Sassuolo - Juventus	3:2 ✺
06.09.26	Bologna - Sassuolo	2:2 ✺
Coppa Italia
02.09.26	Sassuolo - Frosinone	2:1 penalties ✺
Italian Serie A
29.08.26	Sassuolo - Torino	2:1 ✺
23.08.26	Atalanta - Sassuolo	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.5 WTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
03.08.24	Monza - Sassuolo	2:2
Italian Serie A
28.01.24	Monza - Sassuolo	1:0
02.10.23	Sassuolo - Monza	0:1
19.05.23	Sassuolo - Monza	1:2
22.01.23	Monza - Sassuolo	1:1

Upcoming Matches