Match Info

Serie B - Round 31

Date: 18 March 2026, Wednesday

Location: Stadio Benito Stirpe (Frosinone)

Referee: Maresca F. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Belarus	Sport TV
Israel	5 STARS Israel
Italy	DAZN Italia, LAB Channel
Russia	Telekanal Futbol
Slovakia	Sport TV2
Switzerland	Blue Sport 6, Blue Sport 6, Blue Sport 7, Blue Sport 7
United-kingdom	DCTV
Usa	DCTV
World	Onefootball


	Frosinone		Bari

	1	X	2
	1.46	4.1	6.5	Watch
	1.48	4.35	5.7
	1.52	4.5	6.33
	1.51	4.36	5.8	Watch
	1.44	4	5.75
	1.52	4.15	6.57	Watch
	1.58	4.1	5.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↓ (1.57)	4.22 ↑ (4.03)	6.01 ↑ (5.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Frosinone
62.3%

Draw
22.1%

Bari
15.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.4%

23.1%

17.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.5%

22.7%

17.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Frosinone has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

Bari has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Frosinone than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bari than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
86.7%	13.3%	0%

Frosinone - Bari Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

EH -2 - draw (4.48) (votes: 0 - 0%) .

AH +1.5 - Bari (1.58) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Frosinone will win (12 of 14 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 67.38% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Bari (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Palmisani L. (G) 20. Oyono A. 3. Calvani G. 6. Gelli J. 19. Corrado N. 10. Gelli F. 14. Calo G. (C) 16. Cichella M. 40. Fini S. 9. Raimondo A. 80. Fiori A.	31. Cerofolini M. (G) 25. Pucino R. (C) 26. Odenthal C. 51. Cistana A. 30. Mane M. 18. Maggiore G. 27. Braunoder M. 93. Dorval M. 19. Esteves T. 17. Rao E. 11. Moncini G.
Substitutes
79. Bracaglia G. 7. Ghedjemis F. 11. Gori L. 92. Kone B. L. 8. Koutsoupias I. 17. Kvernadze G. 12. Lolic E. (G) 32. Masciangelo E. 30. Monterisi I. 21. Oyono J. 75. Pisseri M. (G) 90. Vergani E.	80. Artioli F. 10. Bellomo N. 20. Cavuoti N. 90. Cuni M. 49. De Pieri G. 24. Dickmann L. 9. Gytkjaer C. 43. Nikolaou D. 8. Pagano R. 1. Pissardo M. (G) 37. Stabile G. 66. Traore D.
Coaches
Alvini M.	Longo M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
2', 0 - 1, Rao E. ⚽, Moncini G. (A),
8', 1 - 1, Fini S. ⚽, Oyono A. (A),
29', Fiori A. 🟨,
33', Dorval M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
51', Odenthal C. 🟨,
53', 2 - 1, Corrado N. ⚽, Fini S. (A),
57', Rao E. ↓, De Pieri G. ↑,
64', Gelli J. ↓, Monterisi I. ↑,
64', Fiori A. ↓, Kvernadze G. ↑,
72', Dorval M. ↓, Traore D. ↑,
72', Maggiore G. ↓, Bellomo N. ↑,
76', Gelli F. ↓, Koutsoupias I. ↑,
81', Calvani G. 🟨,
83', Mane M. ↓, Stabile G. ↑,
83', Esteves T. ↓, Gytkjaer C. ↑,
84', Corrado N. ↓, Bracaglia G. ↑,
84', Raimondo A. ↓, Vergani E. ↑,
90+5', De Pieri G. 🟨,

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 17 in the zone Serie B (Play Out: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Frosinone won 1.

Recent performances by Frosinone have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Bari is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Frosinone is the obvious favorite.

There will not play in Frosinone: Cittadini G. (Injury) Marchizza R. (Inactive) Zilli M. (Inactive)

There will not play in Bari: Burgio R. (Inactive) Darboe E. (Thigh Injury) Sibilli G. (Suspended) Stabile G. (Inactive) Verreth M. (Injury)

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Frosinone won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 15:21. (average 1.3:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Frosinone won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:11. (average 1.8:1.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Frosinone Calcio
Italian Serie B
14.03.26	Cesena - Frosinone	2:2 ✺
08.03.26	Frosinone - Sampdoria	3:0 ✺
04.03.26	Frosinone - Pescara	2:2 ✺
01.03.26	Catanzaro - Frosinone	2:2 ✺
20.02.26	Frosinone - Empoli	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 TWTTT
- AS Bari
Italian Serie B
14.03.26	Bari - Reggiana	4:1 ✺
08.03.26	Pescara - Bari	4:0 ✺
04.03.26	Bari - Empoli	2:1 ✺
27.02.26	Sampdoria - Bari	0:2 ✺
21.02.26	Padova - Bari	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.5 WLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
22.11.25	Bari - Frosinone	2:3
02.02.25	Bari - Frosinone	2:1
22.09.24	Frosinone - Bari	0:3
Club Friendly
24.07.24	Frosinone - Bari	3:4
Italian Serie B
11.03.23	Bari - Frosinone	0:0
22.10.22	Frosinone - Bari	1:0
10.02.18	Bari - Frosinone	1:0

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