The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Barnechea 54%
Draw 25.8%
San Marcos de Arica 20.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
53.6%
26.7%
19.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
56.6%
25.3%
18.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Barnechea has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
San Marcos de Arica has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barnechea than the current prediction. (+2.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Marcos de Arica than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
80%
0%
20%
Barnechea - San Marcos de Arica Predictions
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Barnechea will win (votes: 4 - 80%). San Marcos de Arica will win (votes: 1 - 20%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
17. Campestrini C. (G) 3. Ortiz A. 4. Bravo D. 15. Toledo A. 18. Ubal B. 5. Valdez B. 19. Llanten M. 20. Tapia Paez G. 9. Gallegos Panozzo M. 10. Sagredo B. (C) 14. Salgado H.
1. Temperini N. (G) 3. Viveros B. 6. Rojo H. 14. Guerra C. 37. Rivera J. 10. Arguinarena M. 16. Farias E. 20. Baez F. (C) 7. Monroy B. 8. Barrios A. 35. Guerreno G.
Substitutes
6. Alucema G. 31. Da Rosa F. 16. Garcia E. 21. Pardo C. 7. Quiroga L. 12. Salas S. (G) 25. Salomon C.
30. Abarca C. (G) 39. Godoy M. 27. Gonzalez J. 33. Maluenda L. 15. Medina G. 19. Rosales F. 38. Zamora Carreno M. J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
13', Farias E. 🟨,
15', Ubal B. 🟨,
23', Guerreno G. 🟨,
29', 0 - 1, Monroy B. ⚽,
45+4', Temperini N. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
48', 1 - 1, Llanten M. ⚽,
59', Valdez B. ↓, Garcia E. ↑,
67', Barrios A. ↓, Zamora Carreno M. J. ↑,
70', Zamora Carreno M. J. 🟨,
76', Ortiz A. ↓, Alucema G. ↑,
80', Guerra C. 🟨,
80', Monroy B. ↓, Godoy M. ↑,
83', Baez F. 🟨,
Preview
Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera B (Relegation ~ Play Offs: ) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera B (Relegation ~ Play Offs: )).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Barnechea won 1.
Barnechea in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).
Recent matches San Marcos de Arica is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
San Marcos de Arica could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match Barnechea is a favorite.
Our prediction for today's Barnechea to win the game is with odds 1.66.
Last 12 head-to-head matches Barnechea won 4 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 17-15.
Including matches at home between the teams Barnechea won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 11-8.
Chile
Watch
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Campestrini C. (G) 
Ortiz A. 
Guerreno G. 
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