The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Rangers de Talca 42.7%
Draw 29.6%
San Marcos de Arica 27.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
37%
31.1%
31.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
37.5%
31.5%
31.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Rangers de Talca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Rangers de Talca's performance.
San Marcos de Arica has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rangers de Talca than the current prediction. (-5.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Rangers de Talca that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Marcos de Arica than the current prediction. (+3.8%)
Rangers de Talca - San Marcos de Arica Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
25. Gamonal Ruiz J. L. (G) 5. Silva S. 27. Servetti C. 14. Acuna S. 13. Mora A. 18. Rodriguez A. 8. Marquez A. (C) 21. Mora P. 7. Ibanez I. 26. Herrera J. 19. Gonzalez D.
13. Tapia B. (G) 5. Rivera J. 8. Barrios A. 14. Guerra C. 23. Cazula A. 3. Aguila Bastias Y. M. 15. Cubillos G. 18. Galleguillos A. 26. Rencoret C. (C) 9. Melivilu Fuentes C. 22. Donadell N.
Substitutes
17. Campestrini C. (G) 6. Cortes M. 24. Gomez T. 20. Moya G. 31. Munoz C. 3. Vasquez K. 11. Vicuna M.
20. Abalos A. 4. Iturra M. 31. Larrondo D. 16. Reyes G. 10. Sagredo B. 1. Saracho R. (G) 11. Zedan N.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
24', 0 - 1, Melivilu Fuentes C. ⚽,
28', Melivilu Fuentes C. 🟨,
28', Mora A. 🟨,
36', 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
46', Mora P. ↓, Moya G. ↑,
65', 1 - 1, Marquez A. (Penalty Awarded),
66', 🟨,
69', 1 - 2, Guerra C. ⚽,
80', Ibanez I. ↓, Vicuna M. ↑,
80', Rodriguez A. ↓, Vasquez K. ↑,
85', Guerra C. 🟨,
85', 2 - 2, Servetti C. ⚽,
90+2', 2 - 3, ⚽,
Preview
First leg result: 2-0. Aggregate: 3-0. 2nd leg.
The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Segunda Division and 9).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rangers won 0.
Rangers is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).
San Marcos de Arica has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Rangers may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Rangers won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 8:14. (average 0.8:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Rangers won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:7. (average 1.2:1.4).
Watch
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Gamonal Ruiz J. L. (G) 
Servetti C. 
Cazula A. 
Larrondo D. 
Zedan N. 
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