Match Info

League One - Round 28

Date: 24 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Select Car Leasing Stadium (Reading)

Referee: Doughty L. (Eng)


	Reading		Barnsley

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.6	2.82	Watch
	2.22	3.55	2.98	Watch
	2.29	3.65	3.04
	2.24	3.55	2.98	Watch
	2.25	3.4	2.8
	2.28	3.57	2.85	Watch
	2.16	3.5	3.14
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.24 ↑ (2.16)	3.55 ↑ (3.45)	2.94 ↓ (3.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Reading
41.8%

Draw
26.4%

Barnsley
31.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.3%

27.1%

29.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.8%

26.8%

29.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Reading has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Barnsley has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Reading than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barnsley than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	11.1%	22.2%

Reading - Barnsley Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Reading will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Barnsley will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Reading: 35.9% – 97.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Reading (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Pereira J. (G) 17. Yiadom A. 15. O'Connor P. 5. Roberts H. 3. Dorsett A. J. R. 10. Wing L. (C) 8. Savage C. 32. Lane P. 29. Doyle K. 11. Kyerewaa D. 7. Marriott J.	1. Goodman O. (G) 27. Watson T. 15. O'Connell E. 5. Shepherd J. 14. Ogbeta N. 30. Bland J. 8. Phillips A. (C) 7. O'Keeffe C. 22. Kelly P. 19. Cleary R. 10. McGoldrick D.
Substitutes
12. Burns F. 9. Ehibhatiomhan K. 6. Fraser L. 56. Keane W. 24. Nyambe R. 30. Ritchie M. . Stevens J. (G)	6. de Gevigney M. 39. Farrell L. 51. Flavell K. (G) 40. Keillor-Dunn D. . Lennon C. 4. Roberts M. 45. Yoganathan V.
Coaches
Richardson L.	Hourihane C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
19', Shepherd J. 🟨,
22', Shepherd J. ↓, de Gevigney M. ↑,
32', 1 - 0, Roberts H. ⚽,
38', 1 - 1, McGoldrick D. ⚽, Cleary R. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
57', O'Keeffe C. 🟨,
64', Lane P. ↓, Ehibhatiomhan K. ↑,
67', 1 - 2, Phillips A. ⚽, McGoldrick D. (A),
69', McGoldrick D. ↓, Keillor-Dunn D. ↑,
79', Roberts H. ↓, Ritchie M. ↑,
79', Yiadom A. ↓, Nyambe R. ↑,
79', Doyle K. ↓, Keane W. ↑,
80', Phillips A. ↓, Yoganathan V. ↑,
84', Keillor-Dunn D. 🟨,
84', 2 - 2, Marriott J. ⚽,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 11 and 15).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Reading won 0.

Reading is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Barnsley's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Barnsley may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Reading could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in Reading: Elliott B. (Inactive)

There will not play in Barnsley: Connell L. (Red Card)

There are questionable in Reading: Williams D. (Inactive)

In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Reading won 6 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 29:23. (average 1.6:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Reading won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:10. (average 1.5:1.3).

Outrights of English League One for now

Reading: 6.34% Barnsley: 0.61%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Reading	9	4	3	2	22:11	11	15
19	Barnsley	8	2	2	4	8:15	-7	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Reading
English League One
17.01.26	Leyton Orient - Reading	3:1 ✺
04.01.26	Reading - Stockport County	1:0 ✺
01.01.26	Reading - Burton Albion	2:0 ✺
29.12.25	Peterborough United - Reading	1:1 ✺
26.12.25	Plymouth Argyle - Reading	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 LWWTW
- Barnsley FC
English League One
17.01.26	Barnsley - Blackpool	2:1 ✺
English FA Cup
12.01.26	Liverpool - Barnsley	4:1 ✺
English League One
01.01.26	Wigan Athletic - Barnsley	1:1 ✺
29.12.25	Barnsley - Lincoln City	0:2 ✺
26.12.25	Barnsley - Mansfield Town	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WLTLL

Latest Head to Head

English League One
13.09.25	Barnsley - Reading	3:2
03.05.25	Reading - Barnsley	2:4
26.11.24	Barnsley - Reading	2:2
13.04.24	Barnsley - Reading	2:2
09.12.23	Reading - Barnsley	1:3
English League Championship
02.04.22	Barnsley - Reading	1:1
16.10.21	Reading - Barnsley	1:0

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