Match Info

EFL Cup - 1/16-finals

Date: 23 September 2025, Tuesday

Location: Oakwell (Barnsley)

Referee: Reeves T. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 5, TOD
Australia	Amazon Prime Video, beIN Connect
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Canada	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Iceland	Viaplay
India	FanCode, FanCode
Japan	DAZN Japan
Netherlands	Viaplay
New-zealand	beIN Connect
Norway	Viaplay
Sweden	Viaplay
United-kingdom	Sky Sports+
Usa	Paramount+


	Barnsley		Brighton & Hove Albion

	1	X	2
	8	6.25	1.24	Watch
	10.5	6.4	1.25	Watch
	9.71	6.1	1.26
	30.00	16.89	1.00	Watch
	10.5	5.85	1.29	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	13.74 ↑ (9.76)	8.3 ↑ (5.83)	1.21 ↓ (1.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Barnsley
7.1%

Draw
11.8%

Brighton & Hove Albion
81.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

9.6%

16.1%

74.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Barnsley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Brighton & Hove Albion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Brighton & Hove Albion's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.5%	0%	87.5%

Barnsley - Brighton & Hove Albion Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS, 1st Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Brighton & Hove Albion will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Cooper M. (G) 6. de Gevigney M. 5. Shepherd J. 14. Ogbeta N. 23. Farrugia N. 18. Rooney J. 48. Connell L. (C) 19. Cleary R. 3. Russell J. 45. Yoganathan V. 40. Keillor-Dunn D.	23. Steele J. (G) 34. Veltman J. 42. Coppola D. 21. Boscagli O. 24. Kadioglu F. 17. Baleba C. 20. Milner J. (C) 14. Watson T. 18. Welbeck D. 25. Gomez D. 9. Tzimas S.
Substitutes
29. Barratt C. 30. Bland J. 32. Earl J. 39. Farrell L. 51. Flavell K. (G) 31. Graham K. 8. Phillips A. 27. Watson T. 33. Woodcock R.	26. Ayari Y. 5. Dunk L. 53. Howell H. 19. Kostoulas C. 38. McGill T. (G) 22. Mitoma K. 10. Rutter G. 60. Tasker C. 6. van Hecke J. P.
Coaches
Hourihane C.	Hurzeler F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
9', 0 - 1, Gomez D. ⚽, Watson T. (A),
21', 0 - 2, Gomez D. ⚽, Watson T. (A),
33', 0 - 3, Gomez D. ⚽,
37', Kadioglu F. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
46', Kadioglu F. ↓, Tasker C. ↑,
46', Baleba C. 🟨,
53', Baleba C. ↓, Ayari Y. ↑,
57', Connell L. ↓, Bland J. ↑,
58', Shepherd J. ↓, Earl J. ↑,
58', Ogbeta N. ↓, Barratt C. ↑,
63', Tzimas S. 🟨,
65', Tzimas S. ↓, Kostoulas C. ↑,
65', Veltman J. ↓, van Hecke J. P. ↑,
66', Keillor-Dunn D. ↓, Phillips A. ↑,
68', 0 - 4, Gomez D. ⚽, Welbeck D. (A),
75', Gomez D. ↓, Howell H. ↑,
81', Rooney J. ↓, Watson T. ↑,
87', 0 - 5, Howell H. ⚽, Watson T. (A),
89', 0 - 6, Ayari Y. ⚽, Coppola D. (A),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Barnsley won 2.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

In this match, Brighton & Hove is the clear favorite.

There will not play in Barnsley: Gent G. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Jalo F. (Knee Injury) Kelly P. (Foot Injury) Roberts M. (Groin Injury)

There will not play in Brighton & Hove: Hinshelwood J. (Ankle Injury) March S. (Knee Injury) Webster A. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Brighton & Hove: De Cuyper M. (Injury)

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Barnsley won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:11. (average 0.7:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Barnsley won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 0.5:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Barnsley FC
English League One
20.09.25	Blackpool - Barnsley	1:0 ✺
13.09.25	Barnsley - Reading	3:2 ✺
30.08.25	Barnsley - Huddersfield Town	3:1 ✺
English League Cup
26.08.25	Barnsley - Rotherham United	2:1 ✺
English League One
23.08.25	AFC Wimbledon - Barnsley	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 LWWWL
- Brighton & Hove Albion
English Premier League
20.09.25	Brighton & Hove Albion - Tottenham Hotspur	2:2 ✺
13.09.25	Bournemouth - Brighton & Hove Albion	2:1 ✺
31.08.25	Brighton & Hove Albion - Manchester City	2:1 ✺
English League Cup
27.08.25	Oxford United - Brighton & Hove Albion	0:6 ✺
English Premier League
24.08.25	Everton - Brighton & Hove Albion	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 TLWWL

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
18.02.17	Barnsley - Brighton & Hove Albion	0:2
24.09.16	Brighton & Hove Albion - Barnsley	2:0
05.04.14	Barnsley - Brighton & Hove Albion	0:0
03.12.13	Brighton & Hove Albion - Barnsley	1:2
12.03.13	Barnsley - Brighton & Hove Albion	2:1
25.08.12	Brighton & Hove Albion - Barnsley	5:1
28.04.12	Barnsley - Brighton & Hove Albion	N/A

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