Match Info

League One - Round 11

Date: 4 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Adams Park (High Wycombe)

Referee: Joyce R. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Sky Sports+


	Wycombe Wanderers		Barnsley

	1	X	2
	1.86	3.6	3.7
	1.88	3.6	3.7
	1.88	3.7	3.7
	1.97	3.68	3.86
	1.91	3.59	3.73	Watch
	1.88	3.68	3.79	Watch
	1.83	3.65	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.89 ↓ (1.97)	3.64 ↑ (3.62)	3.75 ↑ (3.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wycombe Wanderers
49.5%

Draw
25.6%

Barnsley
24.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.5%

25.8%

26.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.5%

25.3%

26.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wycombe Wanderers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Barnsley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wycombe Wanderers than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barnsley than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
37.5%	12.5%	50%

Wycombe Wanderers - Barnsley Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Wycombe will win (votes: 6 - 37.5%). Barnsley will win (votes: 8 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Barnsley: 25.5% – 74.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Wycombe (votes: 3 - 50%). Barnsley (votes: 3 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
50. Norris W. (G) 2. Grimmer J. (C) 26. Taylor C. 6. Allen T. 22. Back F. 21. Mullins J. 10. Leahy L. 20. Henderson E. 3. Harvie D. 11. Bell S. 12. Woodrow C.	1. Cooper M. (G) 27. Watson T. 5. Shepherd J. 32. Earl J. 14. Ogbeta N. 30. Bland J. 48. Connell L. (C) 7. Vickers C. 8. Phillips A. 19. Cleary R. 40. Keillor-Dunn D.
Substitutes
8. Boyd-Munce C. 17. Casey D. 9. Fink B. 23. Huggins N. 51. Lowry A. 24. McNeilly D. 1. van Sas M. (G)	6. de Gevigney M. 23. Farrugia N. 51. Flavell K. (G) 22. Kelly P. 10. McGoldrick D. 18. Rooney J. 3. Russell J.
Coaches
Duff M.	Hourihane C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
25', 0 - 1, Cleary R. ⚽,
43', Cooper M. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Grimmer J. ↓, McNeilly D. ↑,
50', 0 - 2, Keillor-Dunn D. ⚽, Phillips A. (A),
65', Bland J. 🟨,
66', Mullins J. ↓, Lowry A. ↑,
72', Cleary R. ↓, Farrugia N. ↑,
72', Vickers C. ↓, Kelly P. ↑,
74', Woodrow C. 🟨,
77', Woodrow C. ↓, Fink B. ↑,
83', Bland J. ↓, Russell J. ↑,
86', Back F. ↓, Huggins N. ↑,
86', Harvie D. ↓, Boyd-Munce C. ↑,
88', 1 - 2, Bell S. ⚽, McNeilly D. (A),
90+3', 2 - 2, Lowry A. ⚽, Leahy L. (A),

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 20 and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wycombe won 1.

Recent performances by Wycombe have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Barnsley is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Barnsley may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Wycombe is seen as the favorite.

There will not play in Wycombe: Scowen J. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Barnsley: Gent G. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Jalo F. (Knee Injury) Roberts M. (Groin Injury)

There are questionable in Barnsley: Kelly P. (Foot Injury)

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Wycombe won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 13:16. (average 1.3:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Wycombe won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:9. (average 1.2:1.8).

Last Results with these Odds

Barnsley - the odds 3.51 are the expected chance of winning is 26.63%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wycombe Wanderers
English League One
27.09.25	AFC Wimbledon - Wycombe Wanderers	2:1 ✺
English League Cup
23.09.25	Wigan Athletic - Wycombe Wanderers	0:2 ✺
English League One
20.09.25	Wycombe Wanderers - Northampton Town	2:0 ✺
13.09.25	Peterborough United - Wycombe Wanderers	2:1 ✺
06.09.25	Wycombe Wanderers - Mansfield Town	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 LWWLW
- Barnsley FC
English EFL Trophy
30.09.25	Notts County - Barnsley	2:1 ✺
English League One
27.09.25	Barnsley - Port Vale	0:2 ✺
English League Cup
23.09.25	Barnsley - Brighton & Hove Albion	0:6 ✺
English League One
20.09.25	Blackpool - Barnsley	1:0 ✺
13.09.25	Barnsley - Reading	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.8 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

English League One
28.01.25	Wycombe Wanderers - Barnsley	2:1
01.10.24	Barnsley - Wycombe Wanderers	2:2
02.03.24	Wycombe Wanderers - Barnsley	2:4
28.11.23	Barnsley - Wycombe Wanderers	1:0
18.03.23	Wycombe Wanderers - Barnsley	0:1
20.08.22	Barnsley - Wycombe Wanderers	0:3
English League Championship
17.03.21	Wycombe Wanderers - Barnsley	1:3

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