Match Info

League One - Round 29

Date: 27 January 2026, Tuesday

Location: Cardiff City Stadium (Cardiff)

Referee: Swabey L. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Sky Sports+


	Cardiff City		Barnsley

	1	X	2
	1.57	3.8	5	Watch
	1.66	4	4.5
	1.65	3.95	4.7	Watch
	1.68	4.05	5.03
	1.6	4.17	4.98	Watch
	1.62	3.8	4.6
	1.64	4.05	4.74	Watch
	1.62	4	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↑ (1.59)	3.98 ↓ (4.08)	4.82 ↑ (4.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cardiff City
57.2%

Draw
23.4%

Barnsley
19.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.6%

22.5%

19.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.8%

21%

18.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cardiff City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Barnsley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cardiff City than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barnsley than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
95.2%	0%	4.8%

Cardiff City - Barnsley Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH -0.75 - Cardiff (1.78) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

DC - Barnsley (2.13) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Cardiff City will win (19 of 20 users predict this - 95%).
Confidence interval (95%): 85.45% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Cardiff City will win (12 of 12 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 16 Selected Experts predict this event. Cardiff (votes: 14 - 87.5%). Barnsley (votes: 2 - 12.5%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Trott N. (G) 38. Ng P. 2. Fish W. 12. Chambers C. (C) 3. Bagan J. 6. Wintle R. 18. Robertson A. 11. Tanner O. 27. Colwill J. 16. Willock C. 8. Kellyman O.	1. Goodman O. (G) 27. Watson T. 15. O'Connell E. 5. Shepherd J. 7. O'Keeffe C. 30. Bland J. 22. Kelly P. 48. Connell L. (C) 8. Phillips A. 19. Cleary R. 40. Keillor-Dunn D.
Substitutes
45. Ashford C. 39. Davies I. 44. Kpakio R. 4. Osho G. 47. Robinson C. 14. Turnbull D. 30. Tyrer H. (G)	6. de Gevigney M. 39. Farrell L. 51. Flavell K. (G) . Lennon C. 14. Ogbeta N. 4. Roberts M. 45. Yoganathan V.
Coaches
Barry-Murphy B.	Hourihane C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
3', 1 - 0, Ng P. ⚽, Tanner O. (A),
5', Robertson A. 🟨,
17', O'Connell E. 🟨,
31', Cleary R. ↓, Ogbeta N. ↑,
45+1', 2 - 0, Willock C. ⚽, Kellyman O. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Robertson A. ↓, Turnbull D. ↑,
61', Bland J. ↓, Yoganathan V. ↑,
63', 3 - 0, Kellyman O. ⚽, Willock C. (A),
69', 4 - 0, Willock C. ⚽,
71', Tanner O. ↓, Ashford C. ↑,
71', Kellyman O. ↓, Robinson C. ↑,
71', Colwill J. ↓, Davies I. ↑,
73', Watson T. ↓, de Gevigney M. ↑,
73', Phillips A. ↓, Farrell L. ↑,
79', Bagan J. ↓, Kpakio R. ↑,
87', O'Keeffe C. 🟨,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship and 15).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cardiff won 3.

Cardiff is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 2 wins).

In recent matches, Barnsley has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Cardiff is considered a favorite.

There will not play in Cardiff: Colwill R. (Ankle Injury) King E. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Cardiff: Turnbull D. (Inactive)

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Cardiff won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 21:12. (average 1.5:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Cardiff won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 13:9. (average 2.2:1.5).

Outrights of English League One for now

Barnsley: 0.61%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
19	Barnsley	8	2	2	4	8:15	-7	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cardiff City
English League One
24.01.26	Cardiff City - Stockport County	1:1 ✺
17.01.26	Bradford City - Cardiff City	1:2 ✺
10.01.26	Leyton Orient - Cardiff City	1:1 ✺
04.01.26	Cardiff City - Wigan Athletic	1:0 ✺
01.01.26	Wycombe Wanderers - Cardiff City	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 TWTWT
- Barnsley FC
English League One
24.01.26	Reading - Barnsley	2:2 ✺
17.01.26	Barnsley - Blackpool	2:1 ✺
English FA Cup
12.01.26	Liverpool - Barnsley	4:1 ✺
English League One
01.01.26	Wigan Athletic - Barnsley	1:1 ✺
29.12.25	Barnsley - Lincoln City	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 TWLTL

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
02.02.22	Barnsley - Cardiff City	0:1
07.08.21	Cardiff City - Barnsley	1:1
27.01.21	Barnsley - Cardiff City	2:2
03.11.20	Cardiff City - Barnsley	3:0
07.03.20	Barnsley - Cardiff City	0:2
07.12.19	Cardiff City - Barnsley	3:2
06.03.18	Cardiff City - Barnsley	2:1

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