Match Info

League One - Round 16

Date: 10 February 2026, Tuesday

Location: One Call Stadium (Mansfield)


	Mansfield Town		Peterborough United

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.3	2.85
	2.28	3.55	2.88
	2.37	3.66	2.9
	2.24	3.54	2.99	Watch
	2.25	3.4	2.8
	2.33	3.52	2.83	Watch
	2.25	3.5	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.29 ↑ (1.85)	3.5 ↓ (3.85)	2.89 ↓ (3.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mansfield Town
40.9%

Draw
26.8%

Peterborough United
32.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.8%

24%

26.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.2%

24.7%

25.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mansfield Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Mansfield Town's form might have worsened.

Peterborough United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Peterborough United's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mansfield Town than the current prediction. (+10.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mansfield Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Peterborough United than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Peterborough United, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
72.7%	18.2%	9.1%

Mansfield Town - Peterborough United Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Mansfield will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%). Peterborough will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Mansfield: 46.4% – 99%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Mansfield (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Peterborough (2.02) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Mansfield (1.65) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Mansfield (votes: 2 - 50%). Peterborough (votes: 1 - 25%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Roberts L. (G) 4. Hewitt E. 23. Oshilaja A. 6. Cargill B. 27. Bolton L. 25. Reed L. (C) 24. Hendry R. 20. Blake-Tracy F. 22. Moriah-Welsh N. 13. Russell J. 19. Adeboyejo V.	1. Bass A. (G) 33. Dornelly J. 12. Lees T. 26. Okagbue D. 2. Johnston C. (C) 4. Collins A. 22. O'Brien-Brady D. 18. Hayes C. 24. Morgan J. 17. Lisbie K. 27. Leonard H.
Substitutes
40. Abbott G. 11. Evans W. 44. Irow O. 2. Knoyle K. 8. Lewis A. 3. McLaughlin S. 18. Oates R.	39. Aderoju O. 11. Frith D. 8. Khela B. 30. Kioso P. 15. Nevett G. 31. Smith B. (G) 42. Sykut P.
Coaches
Clough N.	Williams L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
31', Russell J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', O'Brien-Brady D. ↓, Khela B. ↑,
51', Morgan J. 🟨,
54', 0 - 1, Morgan J. ⚽, Hayes C. (A),
61', Cargill B. ↓, McLaughlin S. ↑,
61', Russell J. ↓, Abbott G. ↑,
67', 0 - 2, Leonard H. ⚽, Khela B. (A),
68', Hendry R. ↓, Oates R. ↑,
68', Adeboyejo V. ↓, Evans W. ↑,
69', Hayes C. ↓, Frith D. ↑,
71', Abbott G. 🟨,
78', Morgan J. ↓, Sykut P. ↑,
78', Leonard H. ↓, Aderoju O. ↑,
81', Hewitt E. ↓, Irow O. ↑,
84', 1 - 2, Abbott G. ⚽,
90+5', Lisbie K. 🟨,

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 8 and 22 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two).

Recent performances by Mansfield have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Peterborough is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Peterborough may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Mansfield is a strong favorite.

There will not play in Mansfield: Bolton L. (Knee Injury) Cargill B. (Hamstring Injury)

There will not play in Peterborough: Adebisi R. (Knee Injury) Hayes C. (Knee Injury) Hughes S. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Mendy J. (Injury) Nevett G. (Inactive)

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Mansfield won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 14:6. (average 3.5:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Mansfield won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 11:6. (average 3.7:2).

Outrights of English League One for now

Mansfield: 1.74% Peterborough: 0.65%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
17	Mansfield	7	2	2	3	10:13	-3	8
23	Peterborough	8	1	2	5	4:13	-9	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mansfield Town
English League One
07.02.26	Mansfield Town - Exeter City	0:0 ✺
31.01.26	Mansfield Town - Wycombe Wanderers	0:0 ✺
27.01.26	Plymouth Argyle - Mansfield Town	1:1 ✺
24.01.26	Stevenage Borough - Mansfield Town	1:1 ✺
17.01.26	Mansfield Town - Port Vale	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 TTTTW
- Peterborough United
English League One
07.02.26	Peterborough United - Wigan Athletic	6:1 ✺
31.01.26	Peterborough United - Huddersfield Town	2:3 ✺
27.01.26	Stevenage Borough - Peterborough United	1:0 ✺
24.01.26	Wycombe Wanderers - Peterborough United	0:2 ✺
17.01.26	Peterborough United - Plymouth Argyle	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

English League One
30.04.25	Mansfield Town - Peterborough United	4:2
26.12.24	Peterborough United - Mansfield Town	0:3
English League Cup
26.09.23	Mansfield Town - Peterborough United	3:2 penalties
Club Friendly
17.07.13	Mansfield Town - Peterborough United	4:2

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