Match Info

VENEZUELA: Copa Venezuela - Round 6

Date: 3 July 2024, Wednesday


	Barquisimeto		Portuguesa Acarígua

	1	X	2
	3.7	3.4	1.8
	4.05	3.2	1.78
				Watch
	4.32	3.34	1.77
	3.8	3.4	1.81
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.97 ↑ (3.96)	3.34 ↑ (3.34)	1.79 ↓ (1.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Barquisimeto
22.7%

Draw
27%

Portuguesa Acarígua
50.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.8%

27.1%

50.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.6%

23.2%

42.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Barquisimeto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Portuguesa Acarígua has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barquisimeto than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Portuguesa Acarígua than the current prediction. (-7.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Portuguesa Acarígua, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Barquisimeto - Portuguesa Acarígua Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 3)
51', 0 - 1, Gonzalez F. ⚽,
57', 1 - 1, ⚽,
74', 1 - 2, Ramirez J. ⚽,
83', 1 - 3, Echeverri Gil D. A. ⚽,
90+4', 2 - 3, Curiel L. ⚽,
90+6', Fernandez S. 🟥,
90+6', 🟥,

Preview

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Academia Rey could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Portuguesa is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Academia Rey won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Barquisimeto SC
Copa Venezuela
27.06.24	Barquisimeto - Zamora	1:1 ✺
20.06.24	Portuguesa Acarígua - Barquisimeto	0:1 ✺
Venezuelan Segunda Division
16.06.24	Barquisimeto - Atlético El Vigía	1:1 ✺
Copa Venezuela
06.06.24	Zamora - Barquisimeto	1:0 ✺
Venezuelan Segunda Division
01.06.24	Barquisimeto - Ureña	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.7 TWTLL
- Portuguesa Acarígua
Copa Venezuela
30.06.24	Zamora - Portuguesa Acarígua	0:1 ✺
20.06.24	Portuguesa Acarígua - Barquisimeto	0:1 ✺
13.06.24	Portuguesa Acarígua - Zamora	1:2 ✺
Venezuelan Primera Division
26.05.24	Portuguesa Acarígua - Carabobo	2:1 ✺
19.05.24	Academia Puerto Cabello - Portuguesa Acarígua	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Copa Venezuela
20.06.24	Portuguesa Acarígua - Barquisimeto	0:1

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