The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Barra Santa Catarina 22.8%
Draw 29.6%
Criciúma 47.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
30.6%
26.6%
42.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
30.5%
26.5%
42.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Barra Santa Catarina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Barra Santa Catarina's form might have worsened.
Criciúma has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barra Santa Catarina than the current prediction. (+7.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Barra Santa Catarina, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Criciúma than the current prediction. (-4.7%)
Barra Santa Catarina - Criciúma Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
12. Ewerton (G) 9. Alex Henrique 16. DG 25. Emerson Junior 14. Gabriel Jesus 11. Marcelinho 29. Matheus Carvalho 2. Muriel 5. Natan Costa 7. Roldan 4. Wesley Matos
1. Gustavo (G) 2. Claudinho 15. Eliedson 9. Felipe Vizeu 7. Fellipe Mateus 14. Figueiredo T. 19. Higor Meritao 13. Jonathan 22. Marcelo Hermes 11. Renato Kayzer 3. Rodrigo
Substitutes
31. Adilson Bahia 10. Alvaro 32. Bruno Azevedo 30. Caike 18. Diego Lanzarini 8. Gelson 15. Guedes 1. Joao Lopes (G) 17. Julio Cesar 6. Kaike 20. Murilo 19. Thiago Santos
17. Adriano Filho 12. Alisson (G) 5. Barcia M. 20. Candelo Y. 23. Eder Citadin . Eduardo Melo 6. Erick Garcia 16. Guilherme 8. Gustavo Barreto 21. Joao Carlos 10. Leo Goncalves 4. Walisson Maia
Coaches
Eduardo Souza
Claudio Tencati
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
14', 0 - 1, Claudinho ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Figueiredo T. 🟨,
47', Gustavo 🟨,
48', 1 - 1, Marcelinho (Pen),
55', 2 - 1, Wesley Matos ⚽,
67', Emerson Junior ↓, Guedes ↑,
67', Matheus Carvalho ↓, Alvaro ↑,
69', Eliedson ↓, Eder Citadin ↑,
69', Jonathan ↓, Gustavo Barreto ↑,
74', Alex Henrique ↓, Adilson Bahia ↑,
79', Adilson Bahia 🟨,
82', Higor Meritao ↓, Barcia M. ↑,
82', Renato Kayzer ↓, Joao Carlos ↑,
86', Marcelinho ↓, Diego Lanzarini ↑,
86', Muriel ↓, Julio Cesar ↑,
87', Felipe Vizeu ↓, Eduardo Melo ↑,
90+7', Natan Costa 🟨,
Preview
1st leg.
Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Catarinense (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Catarinense (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
Recent matches Barra is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Criciúma is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Criciúma could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match Criciúma is a favorite.
Last 2 head-to-head matches Barra won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0-2.
Including matches at home between the teams Barra won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.
Watch
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Ewerton (G) 
Figueiredo T. 
Barcia M. 
Candelo Y. 
Eder Citadin 
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