Match Info

Serie C - First stage - Round 2

Date: 11 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Estádio Doutor Hercílio Luz (Itajaí)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	SportyNet


	Barra Santa Catarina		Maranhão

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.7	3	5.15	Watch
	1.74	3.23	5.77
	1.75	3.07	5.76
	1.7	2.9	5
	1.75	3.3	5.15	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↓ (1.79)	3.1 ↑ (2.95)	5.37 ↑ (4.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Barra Santa Catarina
53.2%

Draw
29.7%

Maranhão
17.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.8%

30.8%

18.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.9%

29.6%

17.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Barra Santa Catarina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Maranhão has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barra Santa Catarina than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maranhão than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	75%	25%

Barra Santa Catarina - Maranhão Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Maranhão will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ewerton (G) 11. Cleo Silva 6. Da Rocha 4. Everton Alemao 2. Fabio 7. Gabriel Silva 8. Henrique Freitas 3. Jean Pierre (C) 9. Lucas Vargas 5. Tete 10. Warley	1. Jean (G) 16. Andre Radija (C) 2. Bal 29. Felipe Cruz 18. Keven 25. Maranhao M. 15. Rosivan 14. Tiburcio 20. Vagalume 8. Vander 17. Will
Substitutes
12. Fabian Volpi (G) 16. Guilherme Lazaroni 13. Leo Duarte 20. Marcelinho 18. Matheus Barbosa 23. Nicolas 17. Pablo 21. Renan Bernabe 19. Saymon 14. Vava 24. Vinicius Popo 15. Vitao	7. Felipe Sales 21. Joelson 10. Jorge Rocha 4. Lucao 6. Lucas Santos 3. Luis Fernando 26. Luis Gustavo 19. Rafael Teixeira 5. Railson 22. Rodrigo 12. Vitao
Coaches
Franco B.	Guerreiro M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
22', 1 - 0, Warley ⚽,
24', 2 - 0, Tete ⚽,
34', Everton Alemao 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
49', Andre Radija 🟨,
80', 3 - 0, Gabriel Silva ⚽,
82', Vander 🟨,
86', Fabio 🟨,
90+2', Saymon 🟨,
90+5', 🟨,

Preview

Barra has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Maranhão is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Maranhão may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Barra is the team to beat.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Outrights of Brazilian Serie C for now

Barra FC: 2.7%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Barra Santa Catarina
Brazilian Serie C
04.04.26	Botafogo PB - Barra Santa Catarina	1:0 ✺
Copa do Brasil
19.03.26	Volta Redonda - Barra Santa Catarina	0:1 penalties ✺
12.03.26	Barra Santa Catarina - América Mineiro	1:0 penalties ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Catarinense
08.03.26	Chapecoense - Barra Santa Catarina	1:0 ✺
01.03.26	Barra Santa Catarina - Chapecoense	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 LWWLW
- Maranhão AC
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
08.04.26	Imperatriz de Desportos - Maranhão	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie C
04.04.26	Maranhão - Guarani	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
28.03.26	Maranhão - Ferroviário Fortaleza	2:3 ✺
25.03.26	América RN - Maranhão	2:0 ✺
Copa do Brasil
12.03.26	Maranhão - Ceará	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 TTLLL

Barra Santa Catarina - Maranhão: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide