Match Info

ARGENTINA: Torneo Betano - Round 27

Date: 13 December 2024, Friday

Location: Claudio Fabian Tapia (Barracas)

Referee: Lamolina N. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	ESPN, ESPN Premium, TV Publica
World	Disney+, Fanatiz


	Barracas Central		Lanús

	1	X	2
	7	3.8	1.57	Watch
	6.75	3.5	1.57
	6.8	3.65	1.55	Watch
	7.3	3.86	1.56
	7.01	3.75	1.56	Watch
	4.75	3.2	1.83
	6.61	3.72	1.58	Watch
	6.8	3.65	1.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.63 ↑ (3.56)	3.64 ↑ (3.17)	1.6 ↓ (2.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Barracas Central
14.3%

Draw
26.1%

Lanús
59.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.5%

29.8%

43.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.2%

29.5%

44.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Barracas Central has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Barracas Central's form might have worsened.

Lanús has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lanús's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barracas Central than the current prediction. (+11.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Barracas Central, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lanús than the current prediction. (-15.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lanús, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
4.7%	11.6%	83.7%

Barracas Central - Lanús Predictions

Users Predictions: Lanús will win (35 of 42 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 72.06% – 94.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Mino M. (G) 33. Mater F. 2. Capraro N. 13. Sanchez C. 15. Demartini N. 6. Insua R. 8. Rosane S. 28. Miloc D. 10. Tapia I. (C) 24. Duarte M. 7. Bruera F.	26. Losada N. (G) 21. Caceres J. 24. Izquierdoz C. (C) 2. Munoz E. 22. Soler J. C. 14. Salvio E. 5. Pena Biafore F. 4. Perez G. 32. Carrera R. 10. Marcelino Moreno 9. Bou W.
Substitutes
21. Brochero L. 11. Cantero A. 9. Dominguez A. 23. Faggioli L. 1. Ferrario R. (G) 14. Goni G. 16. Guaraz I. A. 5. Herrera R. 79. Puig M. 41. Ruiz J. 3. Tolosa N. 43. Zalazar M.	7. Acosta L. 1. Aguerre A. (G) 25. Aquino D. 8. Boggio L. 20. Cabrera B. 23. Dominguez N. 36. Gerez M. 19. Jara L. 6. Luciatti A. 28. Ontivero O. 17. Rodriguez A. 27. Torres J.
Coaches
Insua R.	Zielinski R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
4', 1 - 0, Bruera F. ⚽,
7', 1 - 1, Pena Biafore F. ⚽, Marcelino Moreno (A),
20', Pena Biafore F. ↓, Dominguez N. ↑,
28', Munoz E. ↓, Luciatti A. ↑,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
46', Perez G. ↓, Aquino D. ↑,
47', 1 - 2, Salvio E. ⚽, Aquino D. (A),
58', 2 - 2, Insua R. ⚽, Duarte M. (A),
59', Carrera R. 🟨,
60', 2 - 3, Bou W. ⚽, Marcelino Moreno (A),
65', Duarte M. ↓, Cantero A. ↑,
65', Miloc D. ↓, Ruiz J. ↑,
69', 3 - 3, Cantero A. ⚽,
70', Cantero A. 🟨,
74', Insua R. 🟨,
76', Mater F. 🟨,
81', Tapia I. ↓, Herrera R. ↑,
83', Bou W. ↓, Torres J. ↑,
90+4', Aquino D. 🟨,

Preview

Neutral location.

Recent matches Barracas Central is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Lanús is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Lanús is certain favorite.

There will not play in Barracas Central: Kruger F. (Injury) Lopez L. (Knee Injury) Moyano S. (Injury)

There will not play in Lanús: Bou W. (Hamstring Injury) Loaiza R. (Knee Injury) Morgantini N. (Achilles Tendon Injury)

Last 4 head-to-head matches Barracas Central won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5:7 (average 1.3:1.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Barracas Central won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5:3 (average 2.5:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Barracas Central
Argentinian Liga Profesional
06.12.24	Deportivo Riestra - Barracas Central	0:0 ✺
02.12.24	Barracas Central - Tigre	0:0 ✺
25.11.24	Argentinos Juniors - Barracas Central	0:1 ✺
21.11.24	Barracas Central - Belgrano	1:1 ✺
10.11.24	River Plate - Barracas Central	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.2 TTWTL
- CA Lanús
Argentinian Liga Profesional
07.12.24	Lanús - Instituto Córdoba	2:0 ✺
30.11.24	Banfield - Lanús	0:1 ✺
24.11.24	Lanús - Defensa y Justicia	0:0 ✺
20.11.24	Vélez Sársfield - Lanús	0:0 ✺
11.11.24	Lanús - Platense	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.5 WWTTT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Liga Profesional
30.07.23	Lanús - Barracas Central	2:0
09.09.22	Barracas Central - Lanús	2:0
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
15.02.22	Lanús - Barracas Central	2:0

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