The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Barracas Central 24.2%
Draw 31.5%
San Lorenzo 44.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
25.1%
29.9%
45%
Our Initial ML Estimation
24.9%
29.6%
45.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Barracas Central has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)
San Lorenzo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barracas Central than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Lorenzo than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
20%
40%
40%
Barracas Central - San Lorenzo Predictions
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Barracas Central will win (votes: 2 - 20%). San Lorenzo will win (votes: 4 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 40%). Confidence interval (95%) for San Lorenzo: 9.6% – 70.4%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Desabato A. (G) 4. Peinipil M. 2. Capraro N. 16. Alvarez F. 15. Prado A. 6. Insua R. 33. Mater F. 19. Arce C. 10. Tapia I. 21. Calderara B. 29. Sepulveda B.
13. Batalla A. (G) 2. Perez R. 6. Gattoni F. 22. Campi G. 35. Lujan G. 5. Elias J. 8. Maroni G. 21. Braida M. 18. Vombergar A. 11. Bareiro A. 41. Leguizamon I.
Substitutes
13. Arce C. (G) 28. Benitez M. 40. Brondo M. 11. Cantero A. 7. Colitto L. 18. Dattola A. 14. Diaz J. 17. Frias F. 5. Herrera R. 79. Puig M. 26. Rodriguez M. 3. Tolosa F.
1. Altamirano F. (G) 10. Barrios N. 9. Blandi N. 7. Cerutti E. 55. Goyeneche J. 32. Herrera E. 19. Insaurralde M. 58. Irala E. 20. Martegani A. 50. Perruzzi F. 3. Sanchez C. 46. Silva T.
Coaches
Rondina S.
Insua R.
Preview
Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 18 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )).
Barracas Central has the most likely position - 26 (9.83%), project points - 29, currently - 19, a very small chance of win league (<1%).
San Lorenzo has the most likely position - 2 (35.47%), project points - 51, currently - 35, a small chance of win league (7%).
This event has quality36, small importance16, small match rating26. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Barracas Central is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Recent matches San Lorenzo is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
San Lorenzo will have a mini benefit in this match.
There will not play in Barracas Central: Cantero A.
(Injury)
Centurion R.
(Injury)
Dominguez Ansorena A.
(Injury)
Florentin F.
(Injury)
Juarez A.
(Injury)
Lopez L.
(Injury)
There will not play in San Lorenzo: James J.
(Injury)
Last 1 head-to-head matches Barracas Central won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.
Including matches at home between the teams Barracas Central won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.