Match Info

Copa Colombia - First stage - Round 5

Date: 15 June 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Romelio Martinez (Barranquilla)


	Barranquilla		Alianza Valledupar

	1	X	2
	5.25	3.5	1.73	Watch
	3.5	3.1	1.95
				Watch
	4.8	3.5	1.74
				Watch
	3.5	3.1	2
	4.61	3.58	1.71	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.33 ↑ (4)	3.36 ↑ (3.25)	1.83 ↓ (1.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Barranquilla
21.4%

Draw
27.7%

Alianza Valledupar
50.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.4%

28.7%

47.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.9%

28.1%

49%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Barranquilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Alianza Valledupar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barranquilla than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alianza Valledupar than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Barranquilla - Alianza Valledupar Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Barranquilla (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Alianza (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
90+1', 0 - 1, Perez J. ⚽,

Preview

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Alianza may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Alianza will hold a modest advantage in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Barranquilla FC
Colombian Copa
07.06.25	Envigado - Barranquilla	2:1 ✺
03.06.25	Barranquilla - Orsomarso	2:0 ✺
31.05.25	Rionegro Águilas - Barranquilla	1:0 ✺
Colombian Primera B
18.05.25	Tigres - Barranquilla	1:1 ✺
10.05.25	Barranquilla - Boca Juniors de Cali	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 LWLTT
- Alianza Valledupar
Colombian Copa
11.06.25	Alianza Valledupar - Envigado	3:3 ✺
08.06.25	Orsomarso - Alianza Valledupar	2:2 ✺
04.06.25	Alianza Valledupar - Rionegro Águilas	4:0 ✺
Colombian Primera A
25.05.25	Alianza Valledupar - Independiente Santa Fe	6:1 ✺
17.05.25	Boyacá Chicó - Alianza Valledupar	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 TTWWL

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