Match Info

ENGLAND: LEAGUE TWO - ROUND 22

Date: 17 December 2022, Saturday

Location: Brisbane Road (London)

Referee: Madden B. (Sco)


	Leyton Orient		Sutton United

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.5	4.75
	1.9	3.2	4.33
	1.8	3.4	4.5
	1.78	3.4	4.5
	1.88	3.4	4.77
	1.88	3.25	4.33
	1.9	3.5	4.5	Watch
	1.85	3.2	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 ↓ (2)	3.36 ↑ (3.19)	4.49 ↑ (3.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leyton Orient
50.9%

Draw
28.1%

Sutton United
21%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.5%

29.2%

24.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.5%

28.6%

23.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leyton Orient has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

Sutton United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leyton Orient than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sutton United than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	14.3%	0%

Leyton Orient - Sutton United Predictions

Users Predictions: Leyton Orient will win (12 of 14 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 67.38% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ League One and 16).

Leyton Orient has the most likely position - 1 (62.59%), has project points - 94, has currently - 48, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a small chance of prom. playoffs (9%), has a good chance of promoted (92%), has a good chance of win league (63%).

Sutton has the most likely position - 19 (9%), has project points - 56, has currently - 26, has a very small chance of relegated (3%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (4%), has a very small chance of promoted (1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has small quality 11, importance 47, small match rating 29. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Leyton Orient won 3.

Two teams are playing changeable.

Leyton Orient could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Leyton Orient have a series of guest games.

In this match Leyton Orient is a favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Leyton Orient won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 13-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Leyton Orient won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 11-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Leyton Orient
English League Two
03.12.22	Leyton Orient - Bradford City	3:0 ✺
19.11.22	Stockport County - Leyton Orient	1:2 ✺
12.11.22	Harrogate Town - Leyton Orient	0:2 ✺
08.11.22	AFC Wimbledon - Leyton Orient	2:0 ✺
English FA Cup
05.11.22	Crewe Alexandra - Leyton Orient	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 WWWLL
- Sutton United
English League Two
10.12.22	Sutton United - Colchester United	1:0 ✺
03.12.22	Carlisle United - Sutton United	1:1 ✺
English EFL Trophy
22.11.22	AFC Wimbledon - Sutton United	1:0 ✺
English League Two
19.11.22	Sutton United - Rochdale	1:0 ✺
12.11.22	Sutton United - Bradford City	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WTLWL

Latest Head to Head

English EFL Trophy
20.09.22	Leyton Orient - Sutton United	3:1
English League Two
09.04.22	Sutton United - Leyton Orient	1:0
20.11.21	Leyton Orient - Sutton United	4:1
English National League
13.04.19	Sutton United - Leyton Orient	1:2
29.09.18	Leyton Orient - Sutton United	0:1
09.12.17	Leyton Orient - Sutton United	4:1
05.08.17	Sutton United - Leyton Orient	2:0

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