The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Milton Keynes Dons 66.3%
Draw 21.5%
Barrow 12.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
63.2%
22.4%
14.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
66.5%
21.3%
13.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Milton Keynes Dons has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)
Barrow has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Milton Keynes Dons than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barrow than the current prediction. (+1.5%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
60%
40%
0%
Milton Keynes Dons - Barrow Predictions
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. MK Dons will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Confidence interval (95%) for MK Dons: 35.9% – 97.5%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. MacGillivray C. (G) 21. Ekpiteta M. 25. Nelson C. 32. Sanders J. 6. Kelly L. 2. Jones G. 26. Wiles B. 8. Gilbey A. (C) 22. Mellish J. 13. Paterson C. 10. Collins A.
1. Stanway W. (G) 7. Jackson B. 2. MacDonald A. 6. Canavan N. (C) 3. Shipley L. 23. Mahoney C. 4. Williams M. 45. Harper R. 21. Earing J. 25. Gordon J. 33. Rose D.
Substitutes
7. Crowley D. 29. Hepburn-Murphy R. 9. Hogan S. 11. Mendez-Laing N. 16. Nemane A. 14. Tomlinson J. 27. Trueman C. (G)
19. Malcolm J. 14. McCann C. 8. Smith S. 10. Walker T. 34. Whitfield B. 31. Winterbottom B. (G)
Coaches
Warne P.
Foley S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
7', Earing J. ↓, Smith S. ↑,
34', Harper R. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Mellish J. ↓, Nemane A. ↑,
60', Mahoney C. ↓, McCann C. ↑,
72', Sanders J. 🟨,
76', Jackson B. 🟨,
78', Kelly L. ↓, Crowley D. ↑,
78', Paterson C. ↓, Mendez-Laing N. ↑,
78', Ekpiteta M. ↓, Tomlinson J. ↑,
81', Rose D. ↓, Walker T. ↑,
81', Gordon J. ↓, Malcolm J. ↑,
85', Shipley L. 🟨,
86', Crowley D. 🟨,
90+4', Wiles B. ↓, Hepburn-Murphy R. ↑,
Preview
One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ League One and 23 in the zone Relegation ~ National League).
MK Dons has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Barrow is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
In this match, MK Dons is the undeniable favorite.
There will not play in MK Dons: Offord L.
(Red Card)
Wilson K.
(Knee Injury)
There will not play in Barrow: Anderson F.
(Injury)
Hemmings K.
(Injury)
Raglan C.
(Inactive)
There are questionable in MK Dons: Collar W.
(Hamstring Injury)
Lemonheigh-Evans C.
(Inactive)
Maguire L.
(Inactive)
Matete J.
(Hamstring Injury)
Paterson C.
(Ankle Injury)
There are questionable in Barrow: Whitfield B.
(Inactive)
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, MK Dons won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:8. (average 1:1.6).
Including home matches between the teams, MK Dons won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:5. (average 1:2.5).