Match Info

League Two - Round 41

Date: 3 April 2026, Friday

Location: Bescot Stadium (Walsall)

Referee: Davis W. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Sky Sports+


	Walsall		Gillingham

	1	X	2
	1.66	3.6	5	Watch
	1.72	3.55	4.7	Watch
	1.75	3.83	4.65
	1.74	3.54	4.7	Watch
	1.7	3.5	4.6
	1.72	3.56	4.73	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↓ (2.1)	3.6 ↑ (3.26)	4.73 ↑ (3.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Walsall
54.4%

Draw
25.9%

Gillingham
19.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.2%

28.5%

27.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.6%

28.2%

27%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Walsall has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Walsall's performance.

Gillingham has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Gillingham might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Walsall than the current prediction. (-9.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Walsall that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gillingham than the current prediction. (+7.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Gillingham could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Walsall - Gillingham Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Walsall (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.75 - Walsall (1.87) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Walsall will win (12 of 12 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Walsall (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Roberts M. (G) 33. Browne R. 6. Farquharson P. 5. Burke H. 3. Hancock M. 23. Pattison A. 14. Comley B. (C) 22. Jellis J. 11. Loupalo-Bi A. 19. Pressley A. 17. Clarke C.	1. Morris G. (G) 2. Hutton R. 5. Smith A. 30. Gale S. 3. Clark M. 24. Waldock H. 27. Khumbeni N. 7. McCleary G. 23. Dack B. (C) 38. Hale R. 12. Palmer-Houlden S.
Substitutes
37. Adomah A. 4. Flint A. 18. Harper V. 12. Hornby S. (G) 15. Kanu D. 8. Lakin C. 25. Okeke J.	15. Akomeah T. 9. Andrews J. 32. Cirino L. 35. Dayal L. 25. Turner J. (G) 19. Vokes S. 10. Williams J.
Coaches
Byfield D.	Ainsworth G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
21', 1 - 0, Loupalo-Bi A. ⚽, Clarke C. (A),
38', Pattison A. ↓, Lakin C. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
50', 1 - 1, Hale R. ⚽, McCleary G. (A),
52', Dack B. 🟨,
63', 1 - 2, Palmer-Houlden S. ⚽,
64', Jellis J. ↓, Kanu D. ↑,
66', 2 - 2, Kanu D. ⚽,
69', Palmer-Houlden S. ↓, Andrews J. ↑,
74', Loupalo-Bi A. ↓, Adomah A. ↑,
82', Waldock H. ↓, Williams J. ↑,
90+4', Gale S. 🟨,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 11 and 17).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Walsall won 1.

Walsall has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Gillingham is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Walsall is seen as the favorite.

There will not play in Walsall: Hollman J. (Inactive) Williams H. (Achilles Tendon Injury)

There will not play in Gillingham: Antwi C. (Injury) Masterson C. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Gillingham: Coleman E. (Inactive) McKenzie R. (Inactive) Smith J. (Leg Injury)

In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Walsall won 6 matches, drew 10 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 24:16. (average 1.3:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Walsall won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:10. (average 1.7:1.1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Walsall	8	3	5	0	11:5	6	14
10	Gillingham	9	3	4	2	11:9	2	13

Last Results with these Odds

Walsall - the odds 2.1 are the expected chance of winning is 44.25%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Gillingham - the odds 3.41 are the expected chance of winning is 27.25%, but this team recently wins 20% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Walsall FC
English League Two
28.03.26	Colchester United - Walsall	1:1 ✺
21.03.26	Walsall - Newport County	2:1 ✺
17.03.26	Walsall - Cambridge United	0:0 ✺
14.03.26	Crewe Alexandra - Walsall	0:3 ✺
10.03.26	Salford City - Walsall	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 TWTWL
- Gillingham FC
English League Two
28.03.26	Crawley Town - Gillingham	2:0 ✺
21.03.26	Gillingham - Bristol Rovers	1:2 ✺
17.03.26	Gillingham - Swindon Town	0:2 ✺
14.03.26	Cambridge United - Gillingham	5:0 ✺
10.03.26	Gillingham - Milton Keynes Dons	1:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
09.08.25	Gillingham - Walsall	1:0
22.03.25	Gillingham - Walsall	0:0
11.02.25	Walsall - Gillingham	1:1
03.02.24	Gillingham - Walsall	1:1
14.10.23	Walsall - Gillingham	4:1
18.03.23	Walsall - Gillingham	2:0
20.08.22	Gillingham - Walsall	0:0

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